Match Info

Date: 15 May 2022, Sunday

Location: Orlando Stadium (Johannesburg)

Referee: Gassama B. (Gam)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Orlando Pirates		Al-Ahly Tripoli

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.2	5	Watch
	1.68	3.25	4.8
	1.66	3.2	5
	1.68	3.25	4.9
	1.68	3.14	4.46
	1.67	3.2	5	Watch
	1.7	3.5	4.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.66)	3.25 ↑ (3.2)	4.84 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orlando Pirates
53.7%

Draw
27.7%

Al-Ahly Tripoli
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

28%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

29.7%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orlando Pirates has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Al-Ahly Tripoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando Pirates than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahly Tripoli than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Orlando Pirates - Al Ahly Tripoli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Orlando Pirates could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Orlando Pirates is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Orlando Pirates won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orlando Pirates
CAF Confederation Cup
08.05.22	Al-Ahly Tripoli - Orlando Pirates	0:2 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
02.05.22	TS Galaxy - Orlando Pirates	1:0 ✺
27.04.22	Orlando Pirates - Chippa United	0:0 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
24.04.22	Orlando Pirates - Simba	2:0 penalties ✺
17.04.22	Simba - Orlando Pirates	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLTWL
- Al-Ahly Tripoli
CAF Confederation Cup
08.05.22	Al-Ahly Tripoli - Orlando Pirates	0:2 ✺
24.04.22	Al-Ahly Tripoli - Al-Ittihad Tripoli	1:0 ✺
17.04.22	Al-Ittihad Tripoli - Al-Ahly Tripoli	0:0 ✺
03.04.22	Sfaxien - Al-Ahly Tripoli	0:0 ✺
20.03.22	Al-Ahly Tripoli - Pyramids	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

CAF Confederation Cup
08.05.22	Al-Ahly Tripoli - Orlando Pirates	0:2

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