Match Info

Date: 8 May 2022, Sunday


	Al-Ahly Tripoli		Orlando Pirates

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3	Watch
	2.25	2.75	3.2
	2.35	2.6	3.35
	2.28	2.85	3.1
	2.4	2.63	3.19
	2.25	3	3	Watch
	2.38	2.93	3.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.26)	2.82 ↓ (3)	3.13 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ahly Tripoli
39.1%

Draw
32%

Orlando Pirates
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

30.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

29%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ahly Tripoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Orlando Pirates has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahly Tripoli than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando Pirates than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Al Ahly Tripoli - Orlando Pirates Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Al-Ahly Tripoli will win (votes: 12 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ahly Tripoli: 67.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Al-Ahly Tripoli is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Orlando Pirates is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Orlando Pirates could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Al-Ahly Tripoli will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ahly Tripoli
CAF Confederation Cup
24.04.22	Al-Ahly Tripoli - Al-Ittihad Tripoli	1:0 ✺
17.04.22	Al-Ittihad Tripoli - Al-Ahly Tripoli	0:0 ✺
03.04.22	Sfaxien - Al-Ahly Tripoli	0:0 ✺
20.03.22	Al-Ahly Tripoli - Pyramids	1:0 ✺
13.03.22	Zanaco - Al-Ahly Tripoli	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WTTWW
- Orlando Pirates
South African Premier Soccer League
02.05.22	TS Galaxy - Orlando Pirates	1:0 ✺
27.04.22	Orlando Pirates - Chippa United	0:0 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
24.04.22	Orlando Pirates - Simba	2:0 penalties ✺
17.04.22	Simba - Orlando Pirates	1:0 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
12.04.22	Baroka - Orlando Pirates	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LTWLT

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