Match Info

National - Round 5

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Orleans		Le Puy

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.1
	2.31	3.25	3.29
	4.11	3.85	1.73	Watch
	2.23	3.18	3.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.19)	3.3 ↑ (3.23)	2.83 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orleans
36.8%

Draw
29.2%

Le Puy
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

28.7%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

26.7%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orleans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orleans's form might have worsened.

Le Puy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orleans than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Puy than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Orleans - Le Puy Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Orleans will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Orleans (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Jan C. (G) 23. Mouton E. 5. Sylla M. 8. Giraudon J. 14. Tayot G. 22. Morel J. 6. D'Arpino M. 10. Khous G. (C) 9. El Khoumisti F. 7. Sanchez Da Silva F. 19. Lallias A.	30. Carvalho M. (G) 14. Goumot E. 19. Ghalem T. 6. Soualhia A. 5. Zogba M. 7. Faty M. 23. Gromat J. 8. Akkal S. 22. Xhemo R. (C) 10. Wade P. 24. Nsingi P.
Substitutes
11. Berthier G. 21. Diako M. 35. Keita M. 28. Luyambula S. 20. Rodrigues C.	17. Bouleghcha I. 11. Darnaud A. 26. Esmel H. 18. Gauthier A. 25. Mohamed I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Goumot E. ⚽, Faty M. (A),
16', Tayot G. 🟨,
36', Zogba M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tayot G. ↓, Luyambula S. ↑,
59', Akkal S. ↓, Esmel H. ↑,
65', Lallias A. ↓, Rodrigues C. ↑,
69', Goumot E. ↓, Bouleghcha I. ↑,
69', Wade P. ↓, Gauthier A. ↑,
70', D'Arpino M. ↓, Berthier G. ↑,
82', Sanchez Da Silva F. ↓, Diako M. ↑,
82', Ghalem T. ↓, Mohamed I. ↑,
82', Gromat J. ↓, Darnaud A. ↑,
83', Morel J. 🟨,
84', Sylla M. 🟨,
86', Giraudon J. 🟨,
88', 1 - 1, Luyambula S. ⚽, Morel J. (A),
90', 🟨,
90+2', Jan C. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 14).

Orleans has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Le Puy is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Orleans will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Orleans won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Orleans won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Orleans
French Ligue 3
29.08.25	Châteauroux - Orleans	0:1 ✺
22.08.25	Orleans - Valenciennes	2:1 ✺
15.08.25	Sochaux - Orleans	5:0 ✺
08.08.25	Orleans - Dijon	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.25	Laval - Orleans	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLLL
- Le Puy Foot 43 Auvergne
French Ligue 3
29.08.25	Le Puy - Bourg-Péronnas	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Le Puy - Châteauroux	2:2 ✺
15.08.25	Valenciennes - Le Puy	2:1 ✺
08.08.25	Le Puy - Sochaux	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Clermont - Le Puy	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
21.04.23	Le Puy - Orleans	0:1
02.12.22	Orleans - Le Puy	1:2

Orleans - Le Puy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide