Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group IV - Round 29

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday


	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski		Czarni Połaniec

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.6	1.98
	3.2	3.57	2.05	Watch
	2.87	3.8	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.75)	3.66 ↑ (3.5)	2.01 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski
30.1%

Draw
24.8%

Czarni Połaniec
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

26.1%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

25.2%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Czarni Połaniec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Czarni Połaniec than the current prediction. (-3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
40', 0 - 1, Kardys K. ⚽,
42', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
84', 0 - 3, Palonek T. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski won 1.

Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Czarni Połaniec is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Czarni Połaniec could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
05.05.24	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	3:0 ✺
27.04.24	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Świdniczanka Świdnik	0:1 ✺
20.04.24	Podhale Nowy Targ - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	3:1 ✺
13.04.24	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Wieczysta Kraków	0:3 ✺
06.04.24	Wisłoka Dębica - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT
- Czarni Połaniec
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
04.05.24	Czarni Połaniec - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:0 ✺
26.04.24	Wiązownica - Czarni Połaniec	1:3 ✺
20.04.24	Czarni Połaniec - Avia Świdnik	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Chełmianka Chełm - Czarni Połaniec	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Czarni Połaniec - Garbarnia Kraków	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
14.10.23	Czarni Połaniec - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	3:1
22.04.23	Czarni Połaniec - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	2:1
17.09.22	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Czarni Połaniec	1:0
19.03.22	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Czarni Połaniec	2:2
18.08.21	Czarni Połaniec - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	1:1
18.05.19	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Czarni Połaniec	0:0
27.10.18	Czarni Połaniec - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	4:4

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