Match Info

Super League - Relegation - Final

Date: 16 December 2025, Tuesday


	Orol Nukus		Buxoro

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.56	2.22	Watch
	2.89	3.46	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.82)	3.51 ↑ (3.49)	2.26 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orol Nukus
32.3%

Draw
26.5%

Buxoro
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

26.8%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orol Nukus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Buxoro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Orol Nukus - Buxoro Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Orol (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ziyovutdinov N. (G) 2. Akhmadzhonov B. 4. Musaev R. 15. Juraboev O. 66. Alijonov I. 14. Ismoilov D. 5. Kutybaev S. (C) 27. Kuanishbaev Z. 11. Arazov B. 9. Kutibaev I. 23. Sindarov S.	1. Abdullaev S. (G) 5. Kulmatov S. 94. Ikic F. 33. Tomasevic J. 2. Pulatov I. 6. Khayrullaev R. 25. Cirjak F. 27. Yuldoshev M. 19. Tupliev B. 22. Tabatadze T. 10. Amonov A.
Substitutes
77. Abdulkhakov I. 21. Aliev A. 6. Ibragimov Y. 17. Kalmagambetov R. 25. Nasimov S. (G) 7. Nizanov D. 44. Nomozov M. 55. Rasulov M. 19. Sheripov N.	95. Ahmadjonov N. 88. Begic D. 97. Jurabekov S. 8. Juraev A. 14. Khayrullaev A. 11. Numonov I. 17. Ruziev J. 16. Saidkulov S. (G) 9. Saidov A.
Coaches
Shodimatov V.	Khomyakov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Pulatov I. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Tabatadze T. ⚽, Cirjak F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Alijonov I. ↓, Rasulov M. ↑,
46', Kuanishbaev Z. ↓, Kalmagambetov R. ↑,
52', Akhmadzhonov B. ↓, Abdulkhakov I. ↑,
75', Kutibaev I. ↓, Nizanov D. ↑,
75', Sindarov S. ↓, Aliev A. ↑,
80', Tupliev B. ↓, Ruziev J. ↑,
86', Amonov A. ↓, Begic D. ↑,
89', Khayrullaev R. 🟨,

Preview

Buxoro's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Buxoro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Orol won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Orol won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Orol Nukus
Uzbek Pro Liga
27.10.25	FarDU - Orol Nukus	1:1 ✺
20.10.25	Olimpik-Mobiuz - Orol Nukus	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	Jayxun - Orol Nukus	1:2 ✺
26.09.25	Lokomotiv Tashkent - Orol Nukus	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Orol Nukus - Olympic Tashkent	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLWLW
- FK Buxoro
Uzbek League
10.12.25	Buxoro - Xorazm Urganch	1:2 ✺
05.12.25	Mashal Mubarek - Buxoro	1:0 penalties ✺
30.11.25	Buxoro - Surkhon Termez	0:1 ✺
19.11.25	Shurtan Guzar - Buxoro	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Buxoro - Neftchi Fargona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek Pro Liga
22.11.24	Buxoro - Orol Nukus	3:2
18.09.24	Orol Nukus - Buxoro	1:0

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