Match Info

Super League - Round 10

Date: 27 April 2026, Monday

Location: Istiqlol Stadium (Fergana)


	Mashal Mubarek		Buxoro

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.95	1.98
	3.65	2.98	2
	3.91	3.02	2.04
	3.8	3.06	2.01	Watch
	3.6	2.8	2
	3.93	3.08	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↓ (3.79)	2.98 ↓ (3.12)	2.01 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mashal Mubarek
24.4%

Draw
30.5%

Buxoro
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

29.5%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

25.2%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mashal Mubarek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Buxoro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mashal Mubarek than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buxoro than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Buxoro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Mashal Mubarek - Buxoro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Tukhtaboev D. (G) 8. Abduraymov S. 14. Abubakar R. 2. Akramov Z. 15. Alikulov M. 97. Chidi A. 37. Fayziev S. 28. Ismoilov E. 69. Khadzhiev R. 10. Murtazoev K. 5. Ochilov S.	12. Khamroev U. (G) 88. Begic D. 2. Filipovic V. 9. Kacharava N. 6. Khayrullaev R. 7. Mukhtorov K. 78. Rodic V. 17. Ruziev J. 42. Todorov K. 10. Ubaydullaev S. 27. Yuldoshev M.
Substitutes
27. Alokhodzhaev M. 99. Ayagwa R. 9. Ganikhonov I. 44. Murodov A. 22. Muzaffarov N. 13. Nuriddinov N. 45. Parmonkulov S. 1. Soyibov A. (G) 3. Vaniev A.	1. Abdullaev S. (G) 4. Ahmadjonov N. 21. Basheleishvili M. 25. Esanov S. 22. Joraboev A. 8. Juraev A. 77. Kayumov A. 5. Kulmatov S. 11. Mamasidikov T.
Coaches
Surov I.	Khomyakov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Alikulov M. ↓, Muzaffarov N. ↑,
46', Begic D. ↓, Mamasidikov T. ↑,
67', Abubakar R. 🟥,
67', Ubaydullaev S. ↓, Esanov S. ↑,
72', Kacharava N. ↓, Joraboev A. ↑,
75', Abduraymov S. ↓, Ayagwa R. ↑,
76', Joraboev A. 🟥,
83', Khayrullaev R. ↓, Juraev A. ↑,
83', Rodic V. ↓, Kayumov A. ↑,
86', 0 - 1, Esanov S. ⚽,
90+1', Chidi A. ↓, Ganikhonov I. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro Liga and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mashal won 3.

Mashal has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Buxoro has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Buxoro is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Mashal won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:9. (average 1.3:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Mashal won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 0.6:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Buxoro	22	10	4	8	32:29	3	34
16	Mashal Muborak	22	1	1	20	11:44	-33	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mashal Mubarek
Uzbek League
22.04.26	Surkhon Termez - Mashal Mubarek	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Mashal Mubarek - Xorazm Urganch	0:1 ✺
13.04.26	Pakhtakor - Mashal Mubarek	2:1 ✺
07.04.26	Mashal Mubarek - Bunyodkor	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Navbahor Namangan - Mashal Mubarek	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FK Buxoro
Uzbek League
22.04.26	Buxoro - Pakhtakor	0:1 ✺
17.04.26	AGMK - Buxoro	3:2 ✺
13.04.26	Nasaf Qarshi - Buxoro	1:1 ✺
09.04.26	Buxoro - Qizilqum	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Surkhon Termez - Buxoro	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
05.12.25	Mashal Mubarek - Buxoro	1:0 penalties
30.09.25	Mashal Mubarek - Buxoro	0:0
03.05.25	Buxoro - Mashal Mubarek	1:2
Uzbek Pro Liga
05.11.24	Mashal Mubarek - Buxoro	0:1
12.09.24	Buxoro - Mashal Mubarek	0:2
13.06.24	Mashal Mubarek - Buxoro	1:0
08.04.24	Buxoro - Mashal Mubarek	0:0

Mashal Mubarek - Buxoro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide