Match Info

Super League - Round 25

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Buxoro FA Stadioni (Bukhara) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Jasur M. (Uzb)


	Buxoro		Surkhon Termez

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.25	3.25
	1.9	3.25	3.45
	1.97	3.45	4.13
	1.96	3.4	3.53	Watch
	1.93	3.15	4.05
	1.96	3.5	3.5
	1.85	3.35	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.78)	3.34 ↓ (3.56)	3.64 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buxoro
47.3%

Draw
27.5%

Surkhon Termez
25.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.7%

25.9%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

26.1%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buxoro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Surkhon Termez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buxoro than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Surkhon Termez than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Buxoro - Surkhon Termez Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Buxoro will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Khamroev U. (G) 27. Yuldoshev M. 42. Todorov K. 5. Kulmatov S. 17. Ruziev J. 7. Mukhtorov K. 18. Rajabov O. 11. Mamasidikov T. 25. Esanov S. 78. Rodic V. 22. Joraboev A.	86. Merganov D. (G) 66. Shaydulov B. 26. Shukurullaev B. 6. Shamsiev B. 7. Tursunov D. 8. Sherbutaev K. 27. Musaxonov M. 10. Abdullazhonov S. 18. Uktamov B. 23. Yusupov K. 21. Dzebniauri T.
Substitutes
1. Abdullaev S. (G) 4. Akhmadjonov N. 14. Baratov I. 88. Begic D. 2. Filipovic V. 97. Jurabekov S. 9. Kacharava N. 77. Kayumov A. 30. Mladjovic B.	17. Abdukhamidov S. 5. Bakhodirkhonov M. 25. Boymurodov O. (G) 31. Ergashev K. 11. Friday R. 19. Kodirov F. 39. Mirusmonov M. 32. Rahimjonov B. 15. Ramazonov D.
Coaches
Khomyakov A.	Gafurov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Kulmatov S. 🟨,
45+2', Esanov S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Abdullazhonov S. ↓, Friday R. ↑,
54', Todorov K. 🟥,
57', Mamasidikov T. ↓, Jurabekov S. ↑,
61', Tursunov D. ↓, Abdukhamidov S. ↑,
71', Joraboev A. ↓, Kacharava N. ↑,
71', Ruziev J. ↓, Kayumov A. ↑,
77', Dzebniauri T. ↓, Ramazonov D. ↑,
82', Rodic V. ↓, Begic D. ↑,

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 4th and 12th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buxoro won 0.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Buxoro holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Buxoro has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:11 (averaging 0.4:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Buxoro against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 2:4 goals (averaging 0.5:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Buxoro	25	12	5	8	37:32	5	41
12	Termez Surkhon	25	7	8	10	19:28	-9	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Buxoro
Uzbek League
17.10.26	Dinamo Samarqand - Buxoro	1:2 ✺
09.10.26	Buxoro - Andijan	3:2 ✺
19.09.26	Bunyodkor - Buxoro	2:1 ✺
11.09.26	Buxoro - Navbahor Namangan	1:4 ✺
05.09.26	Qizilqum - Buxoro	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLLL
- Surkhon Termez
Uzbek League
16.10.26	Surkhon Termez - Xorazm Urganch	0:0 ✺
10.10.26	Qizilqum - Surkhon Termez	0:0 ✺
20.09.26	Surkhon Termez - Kokand 1912	1:0 ✺
09.09.26	Neftchi Fargona - Surkhon Termez	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Bunyodkor - Surkhon Termez	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
04.04.26	Surkhon Termez - Buxoro	3:1
30.11.25	Buxoro - Surkhon Termez	0:1
04.07.25	Surkhon Termez - Buxoro	0:0
20.08.23	Buxoro - Surkhon Termez	1:1
31.03.23	Surkhon Termez - Buxoro	2:0
25.11.20	Surkhon Termez - Buxoro	1:1
22.08.20	Buxoro - Surkhon Termez	1:0

Buxoro - Surkhon Termez