Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 13

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Central City Stadium (Orsha)


	Orsha		Minsk 2

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.45	2.60
	2.15	3.32	2.99	Watch
	2.02	3.75	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.38)	3.51 ↑ (3.3)	2.8 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orsha
41.9%

Draw
25.8%

Minsk 2
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

27.6%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

27%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orsha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Minsk 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orsha than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minsk 2 than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
52. Kravchenko R. (G) 10. Ageev I. 8. Berezun I. 93. Bordukov P. 16. Pashkevich M. 82. Shalychev V. 11. Stain D. 5. Tarbyakov N. 19. Vekhtev N. 18. Volchenko N. 77. Zheleznikov G.	16. Gerashchenko M. (G) 9. Bondarenko I. 7. Bulatskiy G. 13. Denisenko D. 17. Kindruk E. 19. Malyutin V. 8. Matusevich S. 4. Sheremet P. 2. Sitnikov R. 15. Tumanov A. 5. Zholudov V.
Substitutes
69. Bulakhov S. 14. Dambrovsky A. 80. Komarov Y. 17. Kulesh Y. 13. Mitrofanov V. 88. Rudenok D. 9. Tikhomirov D. 1. Volodkov A. (G)	20. Bulyga N. 14. Ganchuk V. 12. Kazakov A. 18. Morozov D. 22. Porshnev I. 11. Sapego A. 3. Vasilevskiy N. 10. Volchok I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Bulatskiy G. ⚽, Sitnikov R. (A),
29', 🟨,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Sitnikov R. ↓, Volchok I. ↑,
46', 0 - 2, Malyutin V. ⚽, Matusevich S. (A),
46', Tumanov A. ↓, Ganchuk V. ↑,
52', 0 - 3, Bulatskiy G. ⚽, Bondarenko I. (A),
66', 0 - 4, Volchok I. ⚽,
88', 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Orsha has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Minsk 2 is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Orsha may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Orsha won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Including home match between the teams, Orsha won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Minsk 2	27	9	3	15	37:50	-13	30
14	Orsha	27	7	6	14	28:51	-23	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Orsha
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
20.06.26	Osipovichi - Orsha	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Orsha - Lida	1:2 ✺
07.06.26	Niva Dolbizno - Orsha	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Orsha - SKA-1938	0:2 ✺
23.05.26	Slutsk - Orsha	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLTLL
- FC Minsk 2
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
19.06.26	Minsk 2 - Volna Pinsk	1:2 ✺
14.06.26	Smorgon - Minsk 2	1:0 ✺
06.06.26	Minsk 2 - BumProm Gomel	1:1 ✺
31.05.26	Minsk 2 - Soligorsk	2:3 ✺
22.05.26	Osipovichi - Minsk 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
08.08.25	Orsha - Minsk 2	1:1

Orsha - Minsk 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide