The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Orsha 21.1%
Draw 24%
Volna Pinsk 55%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21%
23.7%
55.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.1%
22.5%
52.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orsha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Volna Pinsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orsha than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volna Pinsk than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
20. Makarov M. (G) 6. Adamchik T. 30. Chakur A. 23. Gonzhurov A. 4. Irshev S. 10. Rassolko P. (C) 7. Salimov T. 24. Seleznev I. 11. Tamelo D. 18. Volchenko N. 8. Zhestarev M.
31. Letsko S. (G) 10. Grechikha M. 15. Kibuk V. (C) 8. Kovalev D. 91. Matyash D. 17. Polkhovskiy K. 2. Prokopchuk D. 22. Samuilik A. 21. Syrisko V. 88. Tishurov I. 18. Urbanovich V.
Substitutes
76. Adygezalzade R. 55. Bashun V. 2. Bazhanov M. 70. Berezun I. 21. Bobchenok N. 17. Gomonov S. 1. Krauchanka R. (G)
1. Asonov A. (G) 67. Baluk S. 6. Belous A. 77. Gitselev Z. 4. Kuradovets A. 19. Lesnyak D. 20. Terletskiy R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Grechikha M. ⚽, Kovalev D. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Gonzhurov A. ⚽, Adamchik T. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
60', 2 - 1, Irshev S. ⚽,
63', Tishurov I. ↓, Gitselev Z. ↑,
77', 2 - 2, Grechikha M. (Pen),
84', Zhestarev M. ↓, Berezun I. ↑,
90', 3 - 2, Volchenko N. ⚽, Tamelo D. (A),
90+2', Seleznev I. ↓, Gomonov S. ↑,
90+2', Gonzhurov A. ↓, Bazhanov M. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orsha won 0.
Orsha has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Volna Pinsk has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Volna Pinsk is a strong favorite.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Orsha won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:31. (average 1.4:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Orsha won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).