The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Slonim 47.3%
Draw 26.6%
Orsha 26.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45%
28.5%
26.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46%
27.9%
25.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Slonim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Orsha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slonim than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orsha than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
44. Agapov A. (G) 3. Adamchik T. 77. Bulychev A. 4. Chuyko N. 99. Kalinchenko M. 7. Klunok M. 19. Konev A. 2. Krutorozhkin K. 8. Mushulov R. 18. Tkatsevich M. 5. Vechorko D. (C)
1. Volodkov A. (G) 10. Alexandrovich A. 7. Bobchenok N. 93. Bordukov P. 3. Bykov N. 22. Kudinov E. 16. Pashkevich M. 82. Shalychev V. 13. Strebtsov D. 18. Volchenko N. 77. Zheleznikov G. (C)
Substitutes
10. Alenchev P. 37. Bolvan A. 13. Chuyko A. 20. Glotko A. 15. Gomonov S. 16. Say D. (G) 12. Semin I. 21. Shcherbakov V. 17. Sokol A. 9. Zhukovskiy A.
8. Berezun I. 69. Bulakhov S. 14. Dambrovsky A. 19. Kostyukovich V. 52. Kravchenko R. (G) 17. Kulesh Y. 88. Rudenok D. 11. Stain D. 9. Tikhomirov D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
4', Pashkevich M. 🟨,
19', Pashkevich M. ↓, Tikhomirov D. ↑,
24', 1 - 0, Konev A. ⚽,
31', Bykov N. 🟨,
35', Bordukov P. 🟨,
39', Konev A. 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Tikhomirov D. ⚽, Shalychev V. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 🟨,
57', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90', 🟨,
90', 🟨,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slonim won 3.
In recent matches, Slonim has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Orsha has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Slonim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
Slonim might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Slonim won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:26. (average 1.9:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Slonim won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 2:1.8).