Match Info

PORTUGAL: Taça de Portugal - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Campo Domingos Carrilho Patalino (Elvas)

Referee: Carvalho H. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV3


	Elvas		Vitoria Guimarães

	1	X	2
	8.5	5	1.27
	9.5	5	1.26
	12	5	1.28
	10.16	5.1	1.29	Watch
	11	5	1.22
	11	5.4	1.3
	12	5	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.59 ↑ (8.45)	5.07 ↑ (4.62)	1.27 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elvas
8.8%

Draw
18.3%

Vitoria Guimarães
73%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.8%

19.7%

69.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.6%

20.1%

70.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elvas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Vitoria Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elvas than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Elvas - Vitoria Guimarães Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ribeiro P. (G) 11. Almara F. 4. Cardoso R. 23. Cotao P. 10. Dias L. 3. Djalo M. 29. Enoh L. 18. Innusah H. 95. Lucao 2. Medina C. 19. Nketia D.	14. Varela B. (G) 18. Arcanjo T. 86. Dieu M. 44. Fernandes J. 8. Handel T. 13. Mendes J. 2. Miguel Maga 15. Rivas Viondi O. 20. Samu 77. Santos N. 10. Tiago Silva
Substitutes
5. Baffour P. 61. Freire D. 22. Gomes C. 20. Gomes E. 78. Henrique Cavalcante 12. Mosca H. (G) 72. Romarinho 6. Sandio R. 21. Vieira E.	79. Bica 24. Borevkovic T. 27. Charles Silva (G) 22. Costa A. 11. Kaio Cesar 6. Manu 17. Mendes J. 9. Ramirez J. 28. Ze Carlos
Coaches
da Cunha Hipolito P. M.	Sousa D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Dieu M. ⚽, Arcanjo T. (A),
36', Nketia D. 🟨,
42', Cotao P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 1 - 1, Lucao ⚽, Medina C. (A),
58', Tiago Silva 🟨,
63', Samu ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
63', Arcanjo T. ↓, Kaio Cesar ↑,
63', Mendes J. ↓, Costa A. ↑,
72', Dias L. ↓, Freire D. ↑,
72', Cotao P. ↓, Baffour P. ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Nketia D. ⚽, Enoh L. (A),
90+10', Almara F. ↓, Sandio R. ↑,
90+12', Handel T. 🟨,
90+14', Borevkovic T. 🟨,
90+15', 🟨,
90+18', Costa A. 🟨,

Preview

Elvas is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Guimarães is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Guimarães could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Guimarães is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- O Elvas CAD
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
05.01.25	Elvas - Arronches Benfica	0:0 ✺
21.12.24	Elvas - Mortágua	1:0 ✺
15.12.24	Pombal - Elvas	0:1 ✺
08.12.24	Fatima - Elvas	0:0 ✺
30.11.24	Elvas - Pero Pinheiro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWWTW
- Vitoria Guimarães
Liga Portugal
03.01.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Sporting Lisbon	4:4 ✺
29.12.24	Farense - Vitoria Guimarães	2:2 ✺
23.12.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Nacional	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.12.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Fiorentina	1:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
16.12.24	Rio Ave - Vitoria Guimarães	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTTTT

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