Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 9

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Cantanhede (Cantanhede)


	Os Marialvas		Samora Correia

	1	X	2
	1.92	3	3.85
	2.03	3.01	3.73	Watch
	1.75	3.6	4.32
	1.72	3.33	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.75)	3.24 ↓ (3.3)	4.06 ↓ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Os Marialvas
49.2%

Draw
28.2%

Samora Correia
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

27.5%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

23.8%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Os Marialvas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Samora Correia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Os Marialvas than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samora Correia than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Os Marialvas - Samora Correia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 🟥,
44', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 2 - 0, ⚽,
80', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, Marialvas is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Os Marialvas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
02.11.25	Peniche - Os Marialvas	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Os Marialvas - Oliveira Hospital	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Marinhense - Os Marialvas	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Os Marialvas - SC Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Mortágua - Os Marialvas	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLTL
- GD Samora Correia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
02.11.25	Samora Correia - Naval	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Mortágua - Samora Correia	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Samora Correia - Fatima	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Lajense - Samora Correia	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Peniche - Samora Correia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTLLL

Os Marialvas - Samora Correia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide