Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 24

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday


	Os Marialvas		Sertanense

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.8	6
	1.5	3.65	6.4
	1.58	3.41	6.45
	1.5	3.65	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.45)	3.63 ↓ (3.88)	6.31 ↓ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Os Marialvas
60.4%

Draw
25.1%

Sertanense
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

23.4%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

22.3%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Os Marialvas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Sertanense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Os Marialvas than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Os Marialvas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (-1%)

Os Marialvas - Sertanense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
40', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Sertanense is Relegated to

Marialvas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Sertanense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Marialvas is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Marialvas to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marialvas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Os Marialvas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
16.03.25	União de Coimbra - Os Marialvas	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Os Marialvas - Marinhense	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Peniche - Os Marialvas	0:0 ✺
23.02.25	Os Marialvas - SB Castelo Branco	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Alcains - Os Marialvas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWTWW
- Sertanense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
16.03.25	Sertanense - Mortágua	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Arronches Benfica - Sertanense	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Sertanense - Elvas	0:0 ✺
23.02.25	Fatima - Sertanense	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Sertanense - Pero Pinheiro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
08.12.24	Sertanense - Os Marialvas	1:1

Os Marialvas - Sertanense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide