Match Info

Kakkonen Group C - Winners stage

Date: 3 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Oulu-lehti Areena (Oulu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	OsPa		TP-47

	1	X	2
	1.21	6.25	8.5
	1.24	6.52	7.58
	1.36	5.68	5.79	Watch
	1.37	5.6	5.71
	1.45	4.9	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.41)	5.79 ↑ (5.35)	6.38 ↑ (5.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

OsPa
69.6%

Draw
15.9%

TP-47
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

17.3%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

16.8%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

OsPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

TP-47 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for OsPa than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TP-47 than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

OsPa - TP 47 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - OsPa (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. OsPa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Fyrsten M. (G) 2. Ajoung M. 14. Evo K. 18. Lotvonen J. 8. Makelainen J. 15. Parkkila O. 11. Piirto L. (C) 4. Ridanpaa T. 3. Saarela E. 25. Tervaoja S. 19. Tiainen L.	25. Kivilahti J. (G) 6. Ajayi O. 8. Alamaki J. (C) 7. Eskelinen M. 77. Gullsten A. 19. Harju E. 5. Isokangas J. 99. Isomaki A. 3. Mattinen V. 47. Saloniemi E. 23. Toivanen E.
Substitutes
6. Flygare K. 1. Jarvinen E. (G) 13. Karsama J. 23. Lindroth E. 28. Munoz A. 32. Saily D. 9. Yllasjarvi P.	20. Barrow A. 28. Kulju H. 1. Nousiainen T. (G) 2. Ponkala J. 4. Seitamaa J. 24. Wiena T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Alamaki J. ↓, Wiena T. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', Ajayi O. 🟨,
64', 🟨,
64', Ridanpaa T. ↓, Karsama J. ↑,
64', Makelainen J. ↓, Yllasjarvi P. ↑,
64', Isomaki A. ↓, Kulju H. ↑,
70', Ajoung M. 🟨,
73', Gullsten A. ↓, Barrow A. ↑,
77', Evo K. ↓, Saily D. ↑,
77', Piirto L. ↓, Munoz A. ↑,
77', Ajoung M. ↓, Lindroth E. ↑,
78', 🟨,
78', 🟨,
86', Munoz A. 🟨,
88', 1 - 0, Saily D. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 1, Ajayi O. ⚽,

Preview

OsPa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

TP-47 has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, OsPa is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, OsPa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 2.5:3).

Including home match between the teams, OsPa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oulunsalon Pallo
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
30.08.25	JBK - OsPa	3:0 ✺
16.08.25	JS Hercules - OsPa	2:3 ✺
09.08.25	OsPa - VIFK	10:2 ✺
03.08.25	OsPa - SJK Akatemia 2	1:2 ✺
26.07.25	Närpes - OsPa	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLW
- TP-47
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
30.08.25	VPS 2 - TP-47	11:0 ✺
16.08.25	TP-47 - GBK Kokkola	2:3 ✺
09.08.25	Närpes - TP-47	1:2 ✺
02.08.25	VPS 2 - TP-47	8:0 ✺
24.07.25	TP-47 - JS Hercules	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group C
26.06.25	TP-47 - OsPa	5:4
17.04.25	OsPa - TP-47	1:1

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