Match Info

Date: 22 February 2020, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Osasco Sporting		São Paulo

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Osasco Sporting
10.2%

Draw
22%

São Paulo
67.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15%

23.2%

61.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.2%

15.7%

74.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osasco Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São Paulo's recent form is better than expected.

The ML Model estimate for Osasco Sporting aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Paulo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Osasco Sporting
Copa do Brasil
19.02.20	Osasco Sporting - Ceará	1:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
15.02.20	Red Bull Bragantino - Osasco Sporting	3:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.02.20	Bangu - Osasco Sporting	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
07.02.20	Osasco Sporting - Guaraní Asuncion	1:1 ✺
01.02.20	Osasco Sporting - Ferroviária	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLTTL
- São Paulo FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
15.02.20	São Paulo - Corinthians	0:0 ✺
09.02.20	Santo André - São Paulo	2:1 ✺
03.02.20	São Paulo - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
29.01.20	Ferroviária - São Paulo	1:2 ✺
26.01.20	Palmeiras - São Paulo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLTWT

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
02.04.16	São Paulo - Osasco Sporting	2:1
26.01.14	São Paulo - Osasco Sporting	2:1
17.03.13	São Paulo - Osasco Sporting	3:2

Osasco Sporting - São Paulo