Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PAULISTA - ROUND 6

Date: 5 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio Bruno José Daniel (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Marques D. (Bra)


	Santo André		São Paulo

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.5	1.62	Watch
	4.8	3.4	1.73
	5	3.3	1.7
	3.35	3.15	1.94
	5.2	3.42	1.75
	4.8	3.1	1.73
	5	3.48	1.7
	4.6	3.45	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.69 ↑ (3.71)	3.35 ↑ (3.09)	1.73 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santo André
19.6%

Draw
27.4%

São Paulo
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

29.2%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

31.1%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santo André has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São Paulo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santo André than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Santo André - São Paulo Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Santo André will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). São Paulo will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Santo André is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches São Paulo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santo André could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match São Paulo is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Santo André won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Santo André won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santo André
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
28.01.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Santo André	0:1 ✺
25.01.23	Santo André - Botafogo SP	1:1 ✺
22.01.23	Ferroviária - Santo André	1:2 ✺
17.01.23	São Bento - Santo André	2:1 ✺
14.01.23	Santo André - Guarani	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.7 WTWLW
- São Paulo FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
29.01.23	São Paulo - Corinthians	1:2 ✺
26.01.23	São Paulo - Portuguesa	4:1 ✺
22.01.23	Palmeiras - São Paulo	0:0 ✺
19.01.23	Ferroviária - São Paulo	1:2 ✺
15.01.23	São Paulo - Ituano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
09.02.22	São Paulo - Santo André	1:0
23.04.21	São Paulo - Santo André	2:0
09.02.20	Santo André - São Paulo	2:1
05.03.17	São Paulo - Santo André	4:1

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