Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 24 August 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Millot B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:30	SportKlub
Croatia	20:30	SportKlub
Serbia	20:30	SportKlub
Slovenia	20:30	SportKlub


	Osasuna		Club Brugge

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3.25	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3
	2.14	3.45	3.3
	2.26	3.4	3.15
	2.25	3.46	3.22
	2.2	3.45	3.16	Watch
	2.27	3.4	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.95)	3.39 ↓ (3.5)	3.19 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osasuna
42.6%

Draw
27.9%

Club Brugge
29.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.6%

26.5%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

26.7%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osasuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Club Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Osasuna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Brugge than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	17.5%	22.5%

Osasuna - Club Brugge Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Osasuna will win (votes: 24 - 60%). Brugge will win (votes: 9 - 22.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 17.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osasuna: 44.8% – 75.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Fernandez A. (G) 15. Pena R. 24. Catena A. 5. Garcia D. (C) 22. Mojica J. 7. Moncayola J. 6. Torro L. 10. Oroz A. 14. Garcia R. 9. Avila C. 16. Gomez M.	22. Mignolet S. (G) 17. Buchanan T. 44. Mechele B. 58. Spileers J. 55. De Cuyper M. 15. Onyedika R. 20. Vanaken H. (C) 10. Vetlesen H. 7. Skov Olsen A. 99. Igor Thiago 77. Zinckernagel P.
Substitutes
12. Areso J. 11. Barja K. 17. Budimir A. 3. Cruz J. 4. Garcia U. 28. Herrando J. 1. Herrera S. (G) 19. Ibanez P. 20. Jose Manuel A. 34. Munoz I. 23. Raul 2. Vidal N.	11. Barbera V. 28. Boyata D. 29. Jackers N. (G) 32. Nusa A. 6. Odoi D. 4. Ordonez J. 64. Sabbe K. 8. Skoras M. 70. Yaremchuk R.
Coaches
Arrasate J.	Deila R.

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Osasuna is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Brugge is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Brugge could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Osasuna will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Osasuna
Spanish LaLiga
19.08.23	Osasuna - Athletic Bilbao	0:2 ✺
13.08.23	Celta de Vigo - Osasuna	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
04.08.23	Burgos - Osasuna	1:2 ✺
04.08.23	Osasuna - Deportivo Alavés	2:3 ✺
29.07.23	Toulouse - Osasuna	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWLL
- Club Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
20.08.23	Club Brugge - RWDM Brussels	7:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.08.23	KA Akureyri - Club Brugge	1:5 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
13.08.23	Eupen - Club Brugge	0:5 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Club Brugge - KA Akureyri	5:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
06.08.23	Westerlo - Club Brugge	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Osasuna
Spanish LaLiga
02.11.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Osasuna	✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.26	Atlético Calatayud - Osasuna	✺
- Club Brugge
UEFA Champions League
04.11.26	PSV Eindhoven - Club Brugge	✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
30.10.26	Zulte Waregem - Club Brugge	✺

Osasuna - Club Brugge