Match Info

Prva NL - Round 10

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: SRC Pescenica (Zagreb) 🌤️ ...


	Dubrava		Kustošija

	1	X	2
	2.80	3.25	2.25
	2.65	3.00	2.42
	2.93	3.13	2.43
	2.92	3.19	2.29	Watch
	2.70	3.05	2.40
	2.49	3.32	2.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.54)	3.16 ↓ (3.26)	2.42 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dubrava
33.3%

Draw
29%

Kustošija
37.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36%

28%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

27.9%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dubrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Kustošija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dubrava than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kustošija than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Dubrava - Kustošija Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maricevic D. (G) 22. Dominic I. 10. Fintic M. 21. Karadakic M. 24. Kristo L. 5. Ljubanovic T. (C) 4. Novak-Stanko M. 19. Olabige B. 2. Palic J. 8. Tunjic M. 14. Vrdoljak M.	12. Rajic A. (G) 18. Krizmanic T. 3. Markanovic F. 51. Nichols J. 19. Nwachukwu P. O. 25. Sopic S. 88. Sunjic N. (C) 13. Vuckovic M. 7. Zabec D. 17. Zalazar M. 4. Zeqiraj L.
Substitutes
9. Al Ghoul H. 23. Dzolan J. 30. Huzanic V. (G) 6. Ibrahim S. 18. Lekaj K. 26. Okeke J. 15. Omazic D. 25. Prenkpalaj M. 17. Stanic I.	23. Begonja D. 11. Dolezal J. 6. Dukic L. 9. Gashi M. 55. Graf I. 8. Jurak L. 5. Kulenovic T. 20. Pregelj D. 1. Prslja L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Nwachukwu P. O. ⚽,
9', 1 - 1, ⚽,
40', 🟨,
41', 1 - 2, Krizmanic T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
72', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 11th and 15th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dubrava won 3.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Recently, Dubrava has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Dubrava has recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:17 (averaging 1.6:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Dubrava against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 16:15 goals (averaging 2:1.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Kustosija	10	3	4	3	8:8	0	13
13	Dubrava	10	3	2	5	11:13	-2	11

Last Results with these Odds

Dubrava - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 35.98%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Dubrava
Croatian Prva NL
17.10.26	Vukovar 91 - Dubrava	2:3 ✺
10.10.26	Orijent - Dubrava	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Dubrava - Bijelo Brdo	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Karlovac - Dubrava	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Hrvace - Dubrava	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLLWT
- NK Kustošija
Croatian Prva NL
17.10.26	Hrvace - Kustošija	1:2 ✺
09.10.26	Opatija - Kustošija	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Jadran Luka Ploče - Kustošija	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Kustošija - Croatia Zmijavci	1:0 ✺
Croatian Cup
16.09.26	Kustošija - Bijelo Brdo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
25.07.26	Dubrava - Kustošija	0:1
31.07.24	Dubrava - Kustošija	2:2
04.08.23	Kustošija - Dubrava	1:4
Croatian Prva NL
03.06.23	Kustošija - Dubrava	0:1
03.03.23	Dubrava - Kustošija	5:2
Club Friendly
21.01.23	Dubrava - Kustošija	1:1
Croatian Prva NL
07.10.22	Kustošija - Dubrava	1:0

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