Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 14

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Yunost Stadium (Osipovichi)


	Osipovichi		Molodechno

	1	X	2
	5.70	4.95	1.30
	7.90	5.00	1.29	Watch
	7.80	5.60	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.13 ↑ (5)	5.18 ↑ (4.3)	1.27 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osipovichi
12.5%

Draw
17.2%

Molodechno
70.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.8%

20.7%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9%

19.6%

64.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osipovichi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Osipovichi's form might have worsened.

Molodechno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Molodechno's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osipovichi than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molodechno than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Molodechno, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Makarov M. (G) 27. Alekseev I. 7. Drapeza V. 21. Elezarenko E. (C) 12. Grin A. 11. Kovardaev T. 23. Kukhotskovolets A. 25. Lomako S. 14. Minets T. 4. Zhordochkin M. 19. Zimin A.	1. Tretyak D. (G) 15. Alshanik A. 22. Atrashkevich S. 17. Belashevich V. 29. Dubovik T. 12. Gruzhevskiy D. 55. Imeryakov E. 14. Koval I. 9. Shmarov E. 21. Sokolovskiy M. 8. Velisevich D. (C)
Substitutes
6. Azarov M. 10. Denisenko D. 17. Emeljanov A. 16. Gurinovich R. (G) 29. Korzhenevskiy I. 9. Kulikov D. 31. Markevich A. 3. Matlakh A. 5. Minkevich A. 15. Petrovsky O.	19. Bakinovskiy A. 24. Diva O. (G) 88. Kuryanchik A. 71. Perov D. (G) 25. Pilipenko M. 18. Tsybulskiy A. 77. Yushkevich A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Shmarov E. ⚽, Dubovik T. (A),
38', 0 - 2, Shmarov E. ⚽, Gruzhevskiy D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
51', 0 - 3, Gruzhevskiy D. ⚽, Koval I. (A),
53', 0 - 4, Imeryakov E. ⚽, Alshanik A. (A),
55', 1 - 4, Elezarenko E. ⚽,
67', 🟨,
79', 1 - 5, Alshanik A. ⚽, Bakinovskiy A. (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Osipovichi is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Molodechno has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Osipovichi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Molodechno is the obvious favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Osipovichi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Osipovichi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Molodechno	26	14	3	9	45:40	5	45
18	Osipovichi	27	5	4	18	29:67	-38	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Osipovichi
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
27.06.26	Gomel 2 - Osipovichi	5:2 ✺
20.06.26	Osipovichi - Orsha	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Volna Pinsk - Osipovichi	2:1 ✺
06.06.26	Osipovichi - Smorgon	0:5 ✺
31.05.26	BumProm Gomel - Osipovichi	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLLL
- FC Molodechno
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
27.06.26	Molodechno - Lida	0:2 ✺
21.06.26	Niva Dolbizno - Molodechno	6:0 ✺
Belarusian Cup
17.06.26	Molodechno - BATE Borisov	1:4 ✺
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
13.06.26	Molodechno - SKA-1938	1:4 ✺
07.06.26	Slutsk - Molodechno	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
23.09.23	Molodechno - Osipovichi	3:0
22.10.22	Molodechno - Osipovichi	2:1
03.07.22	Osipovichi - Molodechno	4:1
Belarusian Division 2 - Promotion Group
07.11.20	Osipovichi - Molodechno	0:3

Osipovichi - Molodechno: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide