Match Info

Division 1 - Södra - Round 8

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Arena Oskarshamn (Oskarshamn)


	Oskarshamn		Skövde AIK

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.7	3.3	2.2
	2.39	3.5	2.65
	2.35	3.65	2.74
	2.37	3.57	2.76	Watch
	2.34	3.52	2.8	Watch
	2.39	3.5	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.69)	3.51 ↓ (3.52)	2.63 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oskarshamn
38.3%

Draw
26.5%

Skövde AIK
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

26.2%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

25.7%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oskarshamn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Skövde AIK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oskarshamn than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skövde AIK than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Skövde AIK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Oskarshamn - Skövde AIK Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Skövde (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Basic M. (G) 10. Alnator T. 19. Arvidsson G. 6. Blomdahl O. (C) 5. Hallberg H. 16. Masangane K. 77. Navik L. 15. Nilsson V. 12. Pettersson B. L. 27. Renato 13. Stenman F.	30. Torstensson G. (G) 8. Abraham E. (C) 9. Agerborn M. 4. Basic A. 3. Johnson S. 22. Kwakwa E. 14. Lennerskog O. 12. Linnarsson V. 11. Nordstrom E. 17. Nylen V. 7. Skillermo E.
Substitutes
11. Adolfsson I. 14. Alisauskas J. 17. Davoudi-Kia A. 2. Hogberg M. 32. Lindblom L. (G) 9. Nyholm A. 8. Olaniyan O.	10. Abraham S. 15. Ansgariusson W. 2. Elofsson G. 35. Moulare M. (G) 16. Samuelsson L. 6. Strom E. 21. Yonan E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', Alnator T. ↓, Hogberg M. ↑,
45+10', 1 - 0, Nilsson V. ⚽, Pettersson B. L. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, Pettersson B. L. ⚽, Blomdahl O. (A),
53', Hallberg H. ↓, Davoudi-Kia A. ↑,
55', Agerborn M. ↓, Samuelsson L. ↑,
58', Johnson S. 🟨,
62', 3 - 0, Nilsson V. ⚽, Navik L. (A),
72', Linnarsson V. ↓, Ansgariusson W. ↑,
76', Nilsson V. ↓, Adolfsson I. ↑,
76', Masangane K. ↓, Olaniyan O. ↑,
76', Blomdahl O. ↓, Nyholm A. ↑,
79', Olaniyan O. 🟨,
90+1', Nordstrom E. ↓, Elofsson G. ↑,
90+1', Abraham E. ↓, Yonan E. ↑,
90+1', Kwakwa E. ↓, Strom E. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oskarshamn won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Oskarshamn won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Oskarshamn won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 2.4:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oskarshamns AIK
Swedish Division 1 Södra
10.05.25	Ljungskile - Oskarshamn	1:3 ✺
03.05.25	Trollhättan - Oskarshamn	3:3 ✺
26.04.25	Oskarshamn - Olympic	0:0 ✺
18.04.25	Lunds - Oskarshamn	3:0 ✺
13.04.25	Oskarshamn - Norrby	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WTTLL
- Skövde AIK
Swedish Division 1 Södra
10.05.25	Skövde AIK - AFC Malmö	2:2 ✺
03.05.25	Skövde AIK - Jönköpings Södra	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	IFK Skövde - Skövde AIK	0:2 ✺
17.04.25	Norrby - Skövde AIK	2:2 ✺
12.04.25	Skövde AIK - Ljungskile	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
11.09.21	Skövde AIK - Oskarshamn	2:0
29.05.21	Oskarshamn - Skövde AIK	5:0
21.11.20	Oskarshamn - Skövde AIK	4:1
02.09.20	Skövde AIK - Oskarshamn	4:1
11.08.19	Skövde AIK - Oskarshamn	3:0
18.05.19	Oskarshamn - Skövde AIK	1:2
13.10.18	Skövde AIK - Oskarshamn	1:2

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