Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 23

Date: 18 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadion an der Bremer Brück (Osnabrück)

Referee: Erbst L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Osnabrück		Bayreuth

	1	X	2
	1.3	5	8
	1.33	5.25	8
	1.3	5.2	7.5
	1.34	5.51	8.87
	1.3	4.6	8
	1.36	4.95	7.3	Watch
	1.3	5.2	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.59)	5.1 ↑ (4.17)	7.87 ↑ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osnabrück
70.1%

Draw
18.1%

Bayreuth
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

22.3%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

21.6%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osnabrück has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Osnabrück's performance.

Bayreuth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bayreuth might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osnabrück than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Osnabrück that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayreuth than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bayreuth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Osnabrück - Bayreuth Predictions

Users Predictions: Osnabrück will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Osnabrück in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Bayreuth is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bayreuth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Osnabrück is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Osnabrück to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Osnabrück won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Osnabrück
German 3 Bundesliga
12.02.23	Ingolstadt - Osnabrück	1:4 ✺
04.02.23	Osnabrück - Erzgebirge Aue	3:1 ✺
28.01.23	Duisburg - Osnabrück	1:2 ✺
24.01.23	Borussia Dortmund II - Osnabrück	1:2 ✺
14.01.23	Osnabrück - Viktoria Köln	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWWWW
- SpVgg Bayreuth
German 3 Bundesliga
12.02.23	Bayreuth - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:3 ✺
03.02.23	Freiburg II - Bayreuth	2:0 ✺
28.01.23	Bayreuth - Ingolstadt	1:0 ✺
21.01.23	Erzgebirge Aue - Bayreuth	4:0 ✺
15.01.23	Bayreuth - Borussia Dortmund II	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
13.08.22	Bayreuth - Osnabrück	1:0

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