Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 28

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion an der Bremer Brück (Osnabrück)

Referee: Haslberger W. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Osnabrück		Greuther Fürth

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.5	2.45	Watch
	2.95	3.5	2.3	Watch
	2.75	3.6	2.35	Watch
	2.88	3.62	2.44
	2.89	3.62	2.43
	2.75	3.5	2.3	Watch
	2.82	3.68	2.35	Watch
	2.85	3.6	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↓ (2.9)	3.58 ↓ (3.59)	2.38 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osnabrück
33.5%

Draw
26.5%

Greuther Fürth
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

26.5%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

26.8%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osnabrück has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osnabrück than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	7.1%	71.4%

Osnabrück - Greuther Fürth Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Osnabrück will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Fürth will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fürth: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Kuhn P. (G) 5. Ajdini B. 4. Gyamfi M. 14. Diakhite O. 3. Kleinhansl F. 17. Conteh C. 6. Thalhammer M. 25. Wiemann N. 8. Tesche R. 32. Wulff J. 9. Engelhardt E.	40. Urbig J. (G) 23. Jung G. 4. Michalski D. 33. Dietz M. 2. Asta S. 14. Consbruch J. 22. Wagner R. 5. Haddadi O. 10. Hrgota B. 16. Petkov L. 30. Sieb A.
Substitutes
2. Androutsos A. 37. Goiginger T. 1. Grill L. (G) 21. Lobinger L. 11. Makridis C. 7. Niemann N. 29. Wahling O. 10. Wriedt K. O.	21. Calhanoglu K. 13. Kiomourtzoglou O. 18. Meyerhofer M. 3. Mhamdi O. 36. Muller P. 34. Pfaffenrot D. 20. Popp L. 25. Schaffran L. (G) 7. Srbeny D.
Coaches
Koschinat U.	Zorniger A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Engelhardt E. ⚽, Tesche R. (A),
15', Sieb A. 🟨,
21', 2 - 0, Conteh C. ⚽, Ajdini B. (A),
43', Hrgota B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Haddadi O. ↓, Srbeny D. ↑,
46', Michalski D. ↓, Meyerhofer M. ↑,
54', Dietz M. 🟨,
58', Dietz M. ↓, Mhamdi O. ↑,
67', Conteh C. ↓, Niemann N. ↑,
73', Sieb A. ↓, Popp L. ↑,
74', Consbruch J. ↓, Calhanoglu K. ↑,
80', Engelhardt E. ↓, Lobinger L. ↑,
80', Wulff J. ↓, Makridis C. ↑,
90+3', Thalhammer M. ↓, Androutsos A. ↑,
90+3', Tesche R. ↓, Goiginger T. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 8).

Recent matches Osnabrück is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fürth has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Osnabrück won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Osnabrück won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Osnabrück
German 2 Bundesliga
31.03.24	Wehen Wiesbaden - Osnabrück	0:1 ✺
15.03.24	Osnabrück - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:4 ✺
10.03.24	Kaiserslautern - Osnabrück	3:2 ✺
03.03.24	Hamburger SV - Osnabrück	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Osnabrück - Hannover	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.5 WLLWW
- Greuther Fürth
German 2 Bundesliga
31.03.24	Greuther Fürth - Hamburger SV	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
21.03.24	Augsburg - Greuther Fürth	4:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
16.03.24	Hansa Rostock - Greuther Fürth	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Greuther Fürth - Elversberg	1:4 ✺
02.03.24	Karlsruher - Greuther Fürth	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
27.10.23	Greuther Fürth - Osnabrück	4:0
26.01.21	Osnabrück - Greuther Fürth	0:1
20.09.20	Greuther Fürth - Osnabrück	1:1
26.05.20	Greuther Fürth - Osnabrück	0:2
27.10.19	Osnabrück - Greuther Fürth	0:0

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