The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Greuther Fürth 37.5%
Draw 25.5%
Holstein Kiel 37%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.1%
25%
35%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.4%
25.2%
34.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Greuther Fürth - Holstein Kiel Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Fürth will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12th and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fürth won 2.
Recent results have been tough for Fürth (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Holstein Kiel shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Holstein Kiel may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Holstein Kiel has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Fürth has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:22 (averaging 1.5:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Fürth against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 10:10 goals (averaging 1.4:1.4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
Greuther Furth
9
2
3
4
12:16
-4
9
14
Holstein Kiel
9
1
5
3
10:11
-1
8
Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now
Holstein Kiel: 0.53% Greuther Furth: 0.32%
Last Results with these Odds
Greuther Fürth - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 40.07%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Holstein Kiel - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.96%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.