Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 8

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Schüco Arena (Bielefeld) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bacher M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	08:30	Disney+, FOX Sports
Armenia	15:30	Fast Sports
Australia	22:30	beIN Connect
Austria	13:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Bosnia And Herzegovina	13:30	Arena Sport 7
Chile	08:30	Disney+
Colombia	06:30	Disney+
Croatia	13:30	MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 11
Czech Republic	13:30	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	13:30	Viaplay
Finland	14:30	Viaplay
Germany	13:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	14:30	Nova Sports 3
Hong Kong	19:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	11:30	Viaplay
Laos	18:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	19:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Netherlands	13:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	00:30	beIN Connect
Norway	13:30	Viaplay
Peru	06:30	Disney+
Philippines	19:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	12:30	DAZN / App
Romania	14:30	Prima Sport PPV 2
Saudi Arabia	14:30	MBC Shahid
Singapore	19:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	13:30	Nova Sport 5
Slovenia	13:30	Sport TV3
Spain	13:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	13:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	13:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Top Event
Thailand	18:30	beIN Connect
Uruguay	08:30	Disney+
Venezuela	07:30	Disney+
International	11:30	OneFootball TV


	Arminia Bielefeld		Osnabrück

	1	X	2
	1.90	3.40	3.90	Watch
	1.93	3.60	3.80
	1.84	3.70	4.00	Watch
	2.00	3.80	4.03
	1.91	3.65	3.94	Watch
	1.98	3.55	4.00
	1.89	3.58	3.83	Watch
	1.88	3.60	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.63)	3.61 ↓ (4.26)	3.92 ↓ (4.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arminia Bielefeld
49.5%

Draw
26.3%

Osnabrück
24.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58%

22.2%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

21.3%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arminia Bielefeld's form might have worsened.

Osnabrück has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arminia Bielefeld, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osnabrück than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Osnabrück, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Arminia Bielefeld - Osnabrück Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Arminia will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4.5 - under (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kersken J. (G) 2. Hagmann F. 5. Bauer M. (C) 19. Grosser M. 17. Sicker A. 21. Russo S. 27. Boakye B. 31. Jensen L. 38. Worl M. 30. Young I. 11. Grodowski J.	32. Krumrey J. (G) 27. Fabinski R. 24. Muller J. (C) 25. Wiemann N. 31. Kammerbauer P. 18. Flach L. 15. Jacobsen B. 42. Jogo 10. Badjie I. 21. Beck A. 11. Meissner R.
Substitutes
3. Felix J. 29. Handwerker T. 7. Koudossou H. 6. Mehlem M. 14. Momuluh M. 39. Ocansey V. 18. Oppermann L. (G) 10. Rochelt J. 8. Schreck S.	4. Abu Hanna J. 28. Faber K. 20. Janotta T. 7. Kyereh D. 8. Munst L. 17. Raimund L. 22. Riesselmann B. 1. Sauter N. (G) 26. Wagner F.
Coaches
Kirch O.	Schultz T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', Fabinski R. 🟨,
16', 0 - 1, Meissner R. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Bauer M. ⚽, Sicker A. (A),
38', Boakye B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Young I. ↓, Momuluh M. ↑,
59', Boakye B. ↓, Rochelt J. ↑,
68', Badjie I. ↓, Kyereh D. ↑,
81', Hagmann F. ↓, Koudossou H. ↑,
81', Jensen L. ↓, Felix J. ↑,
83', Flach L. ↓, Raimund L. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Rochelt J. ⚽, Momuluh M. (A),
86', Grosser M. 🟨,
88', Grodowski J. ↓, Ocansey V. ↑,
89', Russo S. 🟨,
89', Muller J. ↓, Janotta T. ↑,
89', Beck A. ↓, Riesselmann B. ↑,
89', Jogo ↓, Munst L. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 9th and 10th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arminia won 3.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Osnabrück could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Arminia for this game.

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Arminia has recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 15:5 (averaging 1.4:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Arminia against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 7:5 goals (averaging 1.4:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	VfL Osnabruck	9	3	2	4	14:15	-1	11
9	Arminia Bielefeld	9	3	2	4	13:14	-1	11

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Arminia Bielefeld: 0.68% VfL Osnabruck: 0.53%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arminia Bielefeld
German 2 Bundesliga
11.10.26	Bochum - Arminia Bielefeld	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Heidenheim	2:2 ✺
11.09.26	Darmstadt - Arminia Bielefeld	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Arminia Bielefeld - St. Pauli	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Nürnberg - Arminia Bielefeld	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTLTL
- VfL Osnabrück
German 2 Bundesliga
10.10.26	Osnabrück - Dynamo Dresden	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Bochum - Osnabrück	4:1 ✺
23.09.26	Wiedenbrück - Osnabrück	0:3 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
19.09.26	Holstein Kiel - Osnabrück	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Osnabrück - Hertha Berlin	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
15.03.25	Osnabrück - Arminia Bielefeld	0:1
20.10.24	Arminia Bielefeld - Osnabrück	3:1
Club Friendly
15.08.20	Arminia Bielefeld - Osnabrück	1:1
German 2 Bundesliga
17.05.20	Arminia Bielefeld - Osnabrück	1:1
07.10.19	Osnabrück - Arminia Bielefeld	0:1
Club Friendly
21.01.17	Osnabrück - Arminia Bielefeld	0:2
German 3 Bundesliga
18.02.15	Osnabrück - Arminia Bielefeld	0:4

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