Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group E - Round 27

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday


	Ostia Mare		Fulgens Foligno

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	2
	3.45	3.15	2.02
	3.43	3.28	2.04	Watch
	3.39	3.22	2.03
	3.45	3.15	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↓ (3.49)	3.18 ↑ (3.1)	2.02 (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ostia Mare
26.6%

Draw
28.5%

Fulgens Foligno
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

29.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

29.2%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ostia Mare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

The chances for Fulgens Foligno have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Fulgens Foligno aligns with the current prediction.

Ostia Mare - Fulgens Foligno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Calderini E. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Pinna P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 1 - 2, Tomassini S. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 2, Pontillo P. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )).

Ostia Mare is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fulgens Foligno is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Fulgens Foligno have a series of home games.

Fulgens Foligno will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
02.03.25	Follonica Gavorrano - Ostia Mare	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Ostia Mare - SanGiovanniValdarno	2:2 ✺
02.02.25	Terranuova Traiana - Ostia Mare	1:3 ✺
19.01.25	Seravezza Pozzi - Ostia Mare	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Ostia Mare - Orvietana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TTWTW
- AC Fulgens Foligno
Italian Serie D - Group E
02.03.25	Fulgens Foligno - San Donato Tavarnelle	3:2 ✺
23.02.25	Fezzanese - Fulgens Foligno	0:0 ✺
16.02.25	Fulgens Foligno - Grosseto	4:1 ✺
02.02.25	Fulgens Foligno - Trestina	4:2 ✺
26.01.25	Fulgens Foligno - Flaminia Civita Castellana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTWWW

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