Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 9

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Pasquale Giannattasio (Rome) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Teghille V. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	17:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Ostia Mare		Pianese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.10	3.25	2.90
	2.10	3.10	3.00	Watch
	2.37	3.25	3.27
	2.19	3.26	3.08	Watch
	2.30	2.90	3.20
	2.23	3.33	3.12	Watch
	2.15	3.20	3.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.15)	3.18 ↑ (3.1)	3.1 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ostia Mare
41.6%

Draw
28.8%

Pianese
29.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.3%

29.3%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

28.4%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ostia Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Pianese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pianese than the current prediction. (-2%)

Ostia Mare - Pianese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vertua F. (G) 27. Vagnoni M. 13. Brosco R. 5. Giordani P. 4. Piroli D. (C) 77. Tosku F. 32. Casolari F. 8. Greco D. 71. Carbone F. 9. Tonin R. 17. D'Andrea F.	1. Astaldi G. (G) 19. Morelli G. 23. Pintus N. 15. Gorelli M. 37. Di Cosmo L. 27. Bertini M. 30. Proietto F. (C) 77. Martey C. 21. Tirelli M. 10. Ianesi S. 11. Bellini L.
Substitutes
10. Badje I. 66. Castaldo A. 30. Donsah G. 12. Fabiano A. (G) 18. Felici N. 14. Galastri F. 16. Gerbaudo M. 22. Morlupo A. (G) 3. Orfano M. 11. Parigini V. 23. Spinosa M. 24. Tesauro E. 19. Wade I.	4. Casalino T. 7. Colombo M. 74. Corti T. 29. Fabrizi L. 3. Haveri K. 56. Masetti L. 14. Negri G. 5. Peli L. 22. Pezzolato M. (G) 20. Vigiani L. 12. Zambuto A. (G)
Coaches
D'Antoni D.	Zanchetta A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tosku F. ↓, Spinosa M. ↑,
46', Vagnoni M. ↓, Tesauro E. ↑,
59', Tonin R. ↓, Parigini V. ↑,
61', Morelli G. 🟨,
65', Morelli G. ↓, Haveri K. ↑,
77', Gorelli M. ↓, Masetti L. ↑,
77', Martey C. ↓, Casalino T. ↑,
82', Carbone F. ↓, Felici N. ↑,
88', Tirelli M. ↓, Negri G. ↑,
90', Casolari F. 🟨,
90+2', Greco D. ↓, Wade I. ↑,

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 13th and 18th in the Serie C - Play Out).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Ostia Mare is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Ostia Mare has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:3 (averaging 1.7:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ostia Mare against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Ostiamare	11	2	3	6	10:14	-4	9
18	Pianese	11	1	6	4	6:10	-4	9

Last Results with these Odds

Pianese - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 28.4%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
04.10.26	Latina - Ostia Mare	1:1 ✺
27.09.26	Ostia Mare - Forlì	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Gubbio - Ostia Mare	0:2 ✺
16.09.26	Ostia Mare - Ravenna	0:1 ✺
13.09.26	Sassari Torres - Ostia Mare	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TTWLL
- US Pianese ASD
Italian Serie C Group B
04.10.26	Pianese - Ravenna	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Livorno - Pianese	3:2 ✺
21.09.26	Pianese - Sambenedettese	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Sassari Torres - Pianese	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Pianese - Grosseto	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
23.04.23	Pianese - Ostia Mare	0:3
13.06.21	Ostia Mare - Pianese	2:2
07.02.21	Pianese - Ostia Mare	1:0

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