Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP E - ROUND 28

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday


	Ostia Mare		Livorno

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.9	2.35
	2.76	2.92	2.3
	2.9	3	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.76)	2.94 ↑ (2.92)	2.35 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ostia Mare
31.7%

Draw
30.4%

Livorno
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

30.1%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

31.4%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ostia Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Livorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Livorno could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ostia Mare won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
11.03.23	Grosseto - Ostia Mare	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	Ostia Mare - Mobilieri Ponsacco	1:2 ✺
26.02.23	Montespaccato - Ostia Mare	2:2 ✺
19.02.23	Ostia Mare - Seravezza Pozzi	2:0 ✺
11.02.23	Città di Castello - Ostia Mare	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TLTWW
- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie D - Group E
12.03.23	Livorno - Arezzo	0:4 ✺
05.03.23	Livorno - Montespaccato	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	Grosseto - Livorno	1:1 ✺
19.02.23	Livorno - Città di Castello	3:0 ✺
12.02.23	Mobilieri Ponsacco - Livorno	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
13.11.22	Livorno - Ostia Mare	3:1

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