The best margin for this event is 10.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ostrovets 56.1%
Draw 22.3%
Osipovichi 21.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.3%
22.2%
30.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.8%
21.5%
29.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ostrovets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ostrovets's performance.
Osipovichi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Osipovichi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ostrovets than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ostrovets that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osipovichi than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Osipovichi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Frolov I. (G) 11. Boychenko M. 8. Davidovich A. 18. Davyskiba R. 9. Fedosenko A. 10. Goncharik K. (C) 21. Kilyimanov A. 4. Prudnik D. 81. Skripnik G. 88. Yakimovich N. 7. Zaytsev I.
33. Yaroshevich E. (G) 27. Alekseev I. 21. Elezarenko E. (C) 18. Khadzhiev A. 25. Lomako S. 14. Minets T. 15. Petrovsky O. 2. Ssorin D. 8. Tishurov I. 29. Vasilkevich M. 19. Zimin A.
Substitutes
82. Drozd V. (G) 25. Gonzhurov A. 22. Kalinovskiy M. 17. Medvedev R. 2. Merkulov D. 19. Mikhey E. 13. Snetkov A. 97. Tsyk D.
7. Azarov M. 17. Emeljanov A. 12. Grin A. 16. Gurinovich R. (G) 11. Kovardaev T. 23. Kukhotskovolets A. 31. Markevich A. 5. Minkevich A. 6. Pyshnik D. 4. Zhordochkin M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Elezarenko E. 🟨,
8', Skripnik G. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Fedosenko A. ⚽, Davidovich A. (A),
33', Kilyimanov A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Goncharik K. 🟨,
55', Davidovich A. ↓, Snetkov A. ↑,
55', Goncharik K. ↓, Tsyk D. ↑,
56', Boychenko M. ↓, Kalinovskiy M. ↑,
57', 2 - 0, Davyskiba R. ⚽,
60', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
76', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+4', 🟥,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
Osipovichi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Ostrovets is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ostrovets won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 2.2:0.4).
Including home match between the teams, Ostrovets won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
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Frolov I. (G) 
Boychenko M. 
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