Match Info

CYPRUS: CYTA CHAMPIONSHIP - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 28

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Ammochostos Stadium (Larnaca)

Referee: Athanassiou K. (Cyp)


	Othellos Athienou		AEL Limassol

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.3	2.05
	3	3.5	2.15	Watch
	2.92	3.45	2.21
	3.2	3.48	2.25
	3	3.4	2.1
	3.14	3.48	2.18	Watch
	2.95	3.4	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (3.48)	3.43 ↓ (3.48)	2.17 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Othellos Athienou
30.5%

Draw
26.9%

AEL Limassol
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

25.4%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Othellos Athienou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

AEL Limassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Othellos Athienou than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEL Limassol than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Othellos Athienou - AEL Limassol Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Othellos Athienou will win (votes: 2 - 50%). AEL will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. Taudul M. (G) 28. Anang B. 10. Brambilla L. 91. Corinus J. 18. Hadjipaschalis C. 3. Jansen Q. 14. Katsiati G. 4. Nardini E. 29. Pich R. 12. Sangare I. 2. Stamoulis K.	99. Anestis G. (G) 5. Basto H. 66. Djalma Silva 23. Filipovic P. 77. Kah Fabrice 33. Makris A. 10. Mendoza J. 29. Minchev G. 8. Papafotis V. 14. Srnic S. 24. Tsouka R.
Coaches
Sakkas C.	Garpozis A.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Othellos Athienou won 3.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

AEL could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

AEL will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Othellos Athienou won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Othellos Athienou won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Othellos Athienou
Cypriot First Division
24.02.24	Nea Salamis - Othellos Athienou	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Omonia - Othellos Athienou	1:0 ✺
13.02.24	Othellos Athienou - Paphos	0:3 ✺
09.02.24	Zakakiou - Othellos Athienou	3:3 ✺
05.02.24	Othellos Athienou - Doxa Katokopias	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLLTT
- AEL Limassol
Cypriot First Division
24.02.24	AEL Limassol - Zakakiou	2:1 ✺
Cypriot Cup
21.02.24	Apollon Limassol - AEL Limassol	3:1 ✺
Cypriot First Division
18.02.24	Aris Limassol - AEL Limassol	4:0 ✺
14.02.24	AEL Limassol - AEK Larnaca	2:3 ✺
11.02.24	AEL Limassol - APOEL	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
28.01.24	Othellos Athienou - AEL Limassol	AEL Limassol awarded
22.10.23	AEL Limassol - Othellos Athienou	2:1
Club Friendly
22.07.23	Othellos Athienou - AEL Limassol	1:1
Cypriot First Division
15.05.15	Othellos Athienou - AEL Limassol	3:0
05.04.15	AEL Limassol - Othellos Athienou	0:1
28.02.15	Othellos Athienou - AEL Limassol	0:0
29.11.14	AEL Limassol - Othellos Athienou	1:0

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