The best margin for this event is 12.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Otrant 37.1%
Draw 28.1%
Mornar Bar 34.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.2%
27.3%
33.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Otrant have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The chances for Mornar Bar have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Otrant than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mornar Bar than the current prediction. (-1%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Otrant won 3.
Otrant is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Mornar Bar have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Otrant could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Otrant has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:15 (averaging 1.4:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Otrant against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 11:7 goals (averaging 2.2:1.4 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Mornar Bar - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 34.79%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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