Match Info

Prva Crnogorska Liga - Round 8

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday

Location: Stadion Topolica (Bar)


	Mornar Bar		Otrant

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.10	3.90
	1.7	3.15	4.6
	1.75	3.39	5.07
	1.86	3.2	4.22	Watch
	1.69	3.35	5
	1.72	3.4	4.89
	1.56	3.5	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.68)	3.3 ↓ (3.43)	4.7 ↑ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mornar Bar
52.8%

Draw
27.7%

Otrant
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

26.3%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

26%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mornar Bar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Otrant has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mornar Bar than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Otrant than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Mornar Bar - Otrant Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mornar Bar will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Stojanovic V. (G) 15. Baosic J. 17. Dasic J. 4. Kaludjerovic A. (C) 32. Ljutica V. 6. Martinovic I. 10. Skrijelj D. 9. Soussi A. 33. Stijepovic N. 97. Vukcevic P. 11. Yao Y.	1. Agovic J. (G) 44. Banovic B. 6. Caique Chagas 14. Krstovic S. 10. Muharemovic H. (C) 8. Pavicevic F. 32. Radenovic V. 30. Rudovic V. 9. Taipi A. 22. Uskokovic M. 27. Vukovic P.
Substitutes
3. Cukovic M. 5. Dakic D. 8. Djurisic M. 99. Dragovic V. 23. Dubljevic B. 1. Dubljevic R. (G) 20. Medojevic N. 16. Mitrovic F. 21. Rovcanin M.	24. Bosnjak A. 98. Decbitric E. 12. Kolic S. (G) 19. Lambulic L. 62. Lazoja L. 7. Muharem S. 4. Redzovic B. 11. Rudovic A. 18. Seratlic E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mornar Bar won 2.

Mornar Bar is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Otrant has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Otrant has had a series of away games.

In this match, Mornar Bar is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mornar Bar won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Mornar Bar won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Otrant	9	5	1	3	15:10	5	16
6	Mornar Bar	9	3	4	2	9:7	2	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Mornar Bar
Montenegrin First League
08.09.26	Sutjeska - Mornar Bar	1:0 ✺
03.09.26	Mornar Bar - Bokelj	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Petrovac - Mornar Bar	1:1 ✺
21.08.26	Mornar Bar - Budućnost Podgorica	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Mladost Donja Gorica - Mornar Bar	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWTWW
- FK Otrant
Montenegrin First League
10.09.26	Bokelj - Otrant	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Otrant - Budućnost Podgorica	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Arsenal Tivat - Otrant	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Sutjeska - Otrant	1:4 ✺
02.08.26	Mladost Donja Gorica - Otrant	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Montenegrin First League
06.04.25	Otrant - Mornar Bar	6:2
07.12.24	Mornar Bar - Otrant	1:0
02.10.24	Otrant - Mornar Bar	1:2
04.08.24	Mornar Bar - Otrant	0:1
Montenegrin Druga Liga
04.07.20	Otrant - Mornar Bar	4:3
13.10.19	Otrant - Mornar Bar	0:0
25.08.19	Mornar Bar - Otrant	2:0

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