Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 4

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Den Dreef (Heverlee)

Referee: van Damme K. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Belgium	DAZN Pro League 2
Germany	Laola1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Oud-Heverlee Leuven		Standard Liège

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.20	2.63	Watch
	2.60	3.50	2.55
	2.65	3.35	2.55	Watch
	2.59	3.50	2.81
	2.53	3.43	2.73	Watch
	2.55	3.40	2.70
	2.55	3.46	2.73	Watch
	2.55	3.35	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (2.92)	3.4 ↓ (3.48)	2.68 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oud-Heverlee Leuven
36.9%

Draw
27.8%

Standard Liège
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

27.1%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

27.6%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oud-Heverlee Leuven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Standard Liège has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Standard Liège might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oud-Heverlee Leuven that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Standard Liège could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Oud Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Leuven will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Standard will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. van den Heuvel D. (G) 28. Pletinckx E. 3. Dussenne N. 34. Nyakossi R. 27. Gil O. 4. Verstraete B. 8. Schrijvers S. (C) 9. Traore A. K. 6. George W. 21. Balikwisha W. 19. Ikwuemesi C.	1. Epolo M. (G) 13. Fossey M. (C) 20. Karamoko I. 25. Hautekiet I. 3. Mortensen G. 22. Trouillet A. 84. Touzghar R. 15. Drammeh S. 94. Nielsen C. 11. Abid A. 17. Nguene B.
Substitutes
80. Heremans M. 48. Kayo B. 24. Lakomy L. 5. Lawrence J. 1. Leysen T. (G) 72. Murru S. 99. Opoku D. 17. Vaesen K. 20. Yamada S.	29. Dierckx D. 10. Eckert D. 80. Fosso R. 6. Goemaere L. 19. Jasper S. 18. Lawrence H. 7. Mohr T. 77. Nsimba B. 21. Pirard L. (G)
Coaches
Simons T.	Euvrard V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Nielsen C. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Nyakossi R. 🟨,
58', Traore A. K. ↓, Opoku D. ↑,
61', Drammeh S. ↓, Eckert D. ↑,
61', Touzghar R. ↓, Fosso R. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, George W. ⚽, Ikwuemesi C. (A),
68', 1 - 2, Eckert D. ⚽, Abid A. (A),
73', Fossey M. ↓, Lawrence H. ↑,
73', Nguene B. ↓, Dierckx D. ↑,
76', Nielsen C. 🟨,
82', Trouillet A. ↓, Mohr T. ↑,
86', Balikwisha W. ↓, Yamada S. ↑,
86', Verstraete B. ↓, Lakomy L. ↑,
86', Nyakossi R. ↓, Vaesen K. ↑,
90+1', Schrijvers S. 🟨,
90+2', Epolo M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 2.

Leuven has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Standard has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Leuven may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Leuven: Osifo M. (Inactive) Verlinden T. (Knee Injury) Vlietinck T. (Injury)

There will not play in Standard: Homawoo J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Standard: El Hankouri M. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:20. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Leuven won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	St. Liege	7	3	2	2	13:12	1	11
14	Leuven	7	1	1	5	5:13	-8	4

Last Results with these Odds

Oud-Heverlee Leuven - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 32.34%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Standard Liège - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 40.53%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
15.08.26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Club Brugge	0:3 ✺
09.08.26	Charleroi - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Lille	3:6 ✺
24.07.26	Brugge U23 - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3:0 ✺
18.07.26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Lierse	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLW
- Standard Liège
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
21.08.26	Standard Liège - RAAL La Louvière	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	KV Mechelen - Standard Liège	3:3 ✺
08.08.26	Standard Liège - Cercle Brugge	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Standard Liège - Juventus	0:1 ✺
18.07.26	Dunkerque - Standard Liège	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
08.05.26	Standard Liège - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2:1
04.04.26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège	1:3
12.12.25	Standard Liège - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	0:1
31.08.25	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège	1:0
26.04.25	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège	1:1
22.04.25	Standard Liège - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	0:1
07.12.24	Standard Liège - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:1

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