Match Info

National League North - Round 6

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: RAW Charging Stadium (Oxford)


	Oxford City		Radcliffe

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.6	2.3
	2.4	3.3	2.45
	2.45	3.45	2.52
	2.67	3.54	2.45
	1.68	3.99	4.37	Watch
	2.43	3.48	2.56
	2.25	3.75	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.25)	3.59 ↓ (3.75)	2.74 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford City
39.9%

Draw
26%

Radcliffe
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

24%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

23.3%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Radcliffe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radcliffe than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Oxford City - Radcliffe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Burroughs G. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 1, Thornley O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
54', Wilson B. 🟥,
55', 1 - 2, Clegg R. ⚽,
65', 1 - 3, Jackson B. ⚽,
74', 1 - 4, Clegg R. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 5, Clegg R. ⚽,

Preview

Recent form of Oxford City has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Radcliffe's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Oxford City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Oxford City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Radcliffe - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford City
English National League North
25.08.25	Chester - Oxford City	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Oxford City - Spennymoor Town	1:2 ✺
19.08.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Oxford City	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Oxford City - Macclesfield Town	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Fylde - Oxford City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LLTWL
- Radcliffe FC
English National League North
25.08.25	Radcliffe - Hereford	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Leamington - Radcliffe	2:1 ✺
19.08.25	Radcliffe - Worksop Town	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Radcliffe - Spennymoor Town	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	Buxton - Radcliffe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
29.03.25	Oxford City - Radcliffe	1:0
26.10.24	Radcliffe - Oxford City	1:3

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