Match Info

National League North - Round 5

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday

Location: Deva Stadium (Chester)


	Chester		Oxford City

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.7	4.2
	1.62	3.6	4.4
	1.68	3.75	4.35
	1.71	4.07	4.4
	1.60	3.72	5.49	Watch
	1.67	3.6	5
	1.66	3.74	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.52)	3.74 ↓ (3.95)	4.65 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chester
55.5%

Draw
24.6%

Oxford City
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

23.2%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

22.3%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Oxford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chester than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chester, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Chester - Oxford City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 1 - 0, Burgess S. ⚽,
32', Potter A. 🟥,
45+1', 1 - 1, Westendorf I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 2 - 1, Woodthorpe N. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, Chester is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Chester won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Chester won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chester City
English National League North
23.08.25	South Shields - Chester	4:0 ✺
19.08.25	Chester - Curzon Ashton	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Chorley - Chester	3:0 ✺
09.08.25	Chester - Peterborough Sports	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Chester - Carlisle United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LTLWL
- Oxford City
English National League North
23.08.25	Oxford City - Spennymoor Town	1:2 ✺
19.08.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Oxford City	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Oxford City - Macclesfield Town	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Fylde - Oxford City	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Oxford City - Maidenhead United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
25.02.25	Oxford City - Chester	0:0
26.11.24	Chester - Oxford City	3:1
09.01.13	Chester - Oxford City	2:0
18.08.12	Oxford City - Chester	N/A

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