Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 34

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: RAW Charging Stadium (Oxford)


	Oxford City		Scunthorpe United

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.8	1.7
	4.2	3.35	1.73
	4.75	3.5	1.76
	4.83	3.59	1.73
	4.81	3.55	1.69
	4.2	3.35	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.43 ↓ (5.21)	3.52 ↓ (4.18)	1.72 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford City
20.7%

Draw
26%

Scunthorpe United
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

21.7%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2%

21.5%

61.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Scunthorpe United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Scunthorpe United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Scunthorpe United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Oxford City - Scunthorpe United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Oxford City is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Scunthorpe is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Oxford City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Scunthorpe have a series of home games.

In this match Scunthorpe is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Oxford City won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford City
English National League North
18.02.25	King`s Lynn Town - Oxford City	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	Needham Market - Oxford City	4:0 ✺
11.02.25	Peterborough Sports - Oxford City	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	Oxford City - Leamington	1:2 ✺
04.02.25	Oxford City - Marine	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLLW
- Scunthorpe United
English National League North
15.02.25	Scunthorpe United - Scarborough Athletic	2:1 ✺
11.02.25	Scunthorpe United - Curzon Ashton	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Warrington Town - Scunthorpe United	0:2 ✺
28.01.25	Scunthorpe United - Needham Market	2:0 ✺
25.01.25	Scunthorpe United - South Shields	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
05.10.24	Scunthorpe United - Oxford City	2:2

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