Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 33

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Attis Arena (Scunthorpe)


	Scunthorpe United		Scarborough Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.6	4.5
	1.7	3.69	4.84
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.59)	3.65 ↓ (3.79)	4.67 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Scunthorpe United
55.3%

Draw
25.1%

Scarborough Athletic
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

24%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

22.4%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Scunthorpe United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Scarborough Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Scunthorpe United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scarborough Athletic than the current prediction. (-2%)

Scunthorpe United - Scarborough Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Roberts C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
75', 2 - 0, Ubaezuonu C. ⚽,
79', 2 - 1, Green H. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 16).

Scunthorpe in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Scarborough is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Scarborough could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

In this match Scunthorpe is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Scunthorpe to win the game is with odds 1.64.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Scunthorpe won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Scunthorpe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scunthorpe United
English National League North
11.02.25	Scunthorpe United - Curzon Ashton	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Warrington Town - Scunthorpe United	0:2 ✺
28.01.25	Scunthorpe United - Needham Market	2:0 ✺
25.01.25	Scunthorpe United - South Shields	3:2 ✺
21.01.25	Scunthorpe United - Brackley Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWWWW
- Scarborough Athletic
English National League North
08.02.25	Scarborough Athletic - Alfreton Town	0:2 ✺
04.02.25	Scarborough Athletic - Radcliffe	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	South Shields - Scarborough Athletic	1:1 ✺
28.01.25	Scarborough Athletic - Chorley	2:3 ✺
25.01.25	Scarborough Athletic - Chester	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
21.09.24	Scarborough Athletic - Scunthorpe United	1:0
17.02.24	Scarborough Athletic - Scunthorpe United	0:0
28.08.23	Scunthorpe United - Scarborough Athletic	4:1

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