Match Info

National League North - Round 11

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Hebburn Town		Oxford City

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.40	2.40
	2.55	3.40	2.30
	2.50	3.25	2.43
	2.65	3.47	2.55
	2.56	3.54	2.52	Watch
	2.55	3.40	2.50
	2.57	3.56	2.51
	2.55	3.45	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.96)	3.43 ↓ (3.59)	2.45 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hebburn Town
35.9%

Draw
26.7%

Oxford City
37.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.4%

25.9%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

25%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hebburn Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Oxford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oxford City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hebburn Town than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hebburn Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oxford City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hebburn Town - Oxford City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Marsh T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', 0 - 2, Francillette L. ⚽,
65', 0 - 3, Brown E. ⚽,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 5th in the Promotion - National League North Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 3rd in the Promotion - National League North Playoffs - Semi - finals).

Hebburn has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Oxford City shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Hebburn could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Oxford City holding a narrow advantage.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Oxford City	13	8	3	2	25:8	17	27
13	Hebburn Town	13	5	4	4	18:23	-5	19

Last Results with these Odds

Hebburn Town - the odds 2.96 are the expected chance of winning is 31.36%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Oxford City - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 42.78%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hebburn Town
English National League North
26.09.26	Darlington - Hebburn Town	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Hebburn Town - Hednesford Town	2:1 ✺
08.09.26	Radcliffe - Hebburn Town	5:1 ✺
05.09.26	Hebburn Town - Chester	1:1 ✺
31.08.26	Macclesfield Town - Hebburn Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWLTL
- Oxford City
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Oxford City - Enfield Town	6:1 ✺
English National League North
26.09.26	Oxford City - Morecambe	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Radcliffe - Oxford City	0:3 ✺
08.09.26	AFC Telford United - Oxford City	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Oxford City - Chorley	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTWLW

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