Match Info

Date: 25 October 2022, Tuesday


	Oxford City		Taunton Town

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	3.25
	2.02	3.35	3.15
	2.03	3.4	3.2
	2.07	3.4	3.33
	1.95	3.2	3.6
	2.03	3.38	3.28
	2.04	3.4	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.98)	3.34 ↑ (3.2)	3.29 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford City
45.2%

Draw
27.2%

Taunton Town
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

28.1%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

27%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Taunton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taunton Town than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Oxford City - Taunton Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Oxford City will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Taunton will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oxford City: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 18).

Oxford City is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Taunton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Taunton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Oxford City have a series of guest games.

Oxford City will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford City
English National League South
22.10.22	Havant & Waterlooville - Oxford City	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
15.10.22	Hornchurch - Oxford City	1:4 ✺
English National League South
08.10.22	Tonbridge Angels - Oxford City	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
04.10.22	Plymouth Parkway - Oxford City	1:3 ET ✺
01.10.22	Oxford City - Plymouth Parkway	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WWTWT
- Taunton Town
English National League South
22.10.22	Worthing - Taunton Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
18.10.22	Taunton Town - Yeovil Town	1:0 ✺
15.10.22	Yeovil Town - Taunton Town	0:0 ✺
English National League South
08.10.22	Ebbsfleet United - Taunton Town	5:0 ✺
27.09.22	Taunton Town - Bath City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TWTLT

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