Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Toumba Stadium (Thessaloniki)

Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5P
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Germany	Laola1
Greece	Open TV
Israel	5 SPORT Israel, 5 STARS Israel
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Ukraine	2plus2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	PAOK		Dynamo Kyiv

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.90	4.10	Watch
	1.75	3.75	4.20	Watch
	1.72	3.99	4.70
	1.85	3.86	4.02	Watch
	1.65	3.95	4.60
	1.74	4.08	4.28
	1.69	3.85	4.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.78)	3.91 ↑ (3.73)	4.33 ↑ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PAOK
54.4%

Draw
24%

Dynamo Kyiv
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

25%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

24.1%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Dynamo Kyiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Kyiv than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.5%	11.1%	7.4%

PAOK - Dynamo Kyiv Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. PAOK (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: PAOK will win (22 of 27 users predict this - 81.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.83% – 96.13%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pavlenka J. (G) 3. Kenny J. 4. Hatzidiakos P. 5. Michailidis G. 18. Jogo 20. Zafeiris C. 7. Santamaria B. 14. Zivkovic A. (C) 65. Konstantelias G. 11. Taison 56. Mythou A.	71. Surkis V. (G) 5. Sych O. 94. Kedziora T. 66. Thiare A. 32. Mykhavko T. 6. Brazhko V. 21. Lonwijk J. 9. Voloshyn N. 29. Buyalskyy V. (C) 70. Redushko B. 11. Ponomarenko M.
Substitutes
21. Baba A. 97. Bataoulas D. 39. Berdos D. 2. Camara M. 52. Chatsidis D. 6. Elustondo A. 19. Jeremejeff A. 71. Lyratzis L. 41. Monastirlis D. (G) 10. Pelkas D. 25. Thymianis K. 99. Tsiftsis A. (G)	40. Bilovar K. 39. Guerrero E. 22. Kabaev V. 13. Korobov M. 23. Malysh N. 99. Mounguengue P. 35. Neshcheret R. (G) 43. Olkhovyi I. (G) 8. Pikhalyonok O. 15. Rubchynskyi V. 10. Shaparenko M. 7. Yarmolenko A.
Coaches
Lisci A.	Kostyuk I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', Hatzidiakos P. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Konstantelias G. ⚽, Jogo (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 2 - 0, Konstantelias G. ⚽, Michailidis G. (A),
50', Ponomarenko M. 🟨,
67', Buyalskyy V. ↓, Shaparenko M. ↑,
67', Voloshyn N. ↓, Yarmolenko A. ↑,
68', Taison ↓, Chatsidis D. ↑,
76', Zafeiris C. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
76', Zivkovic A. ↓, Baba A. ↑,
76', Hatzidiakos P. ↓, Elustondo A. ↑,
78', Shaparenko M. 🟨,
80', Redushko B. ↓, Kabaev V. ↑,
83', Konstantelias G. ↓, Pelkas D. ↑,
86', Thiare A. ↓, Bilovar K. ↑,
86', Lonwijk J. ↓, Mounguengue P. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 3-2.

PAOK is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Dynamo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Dynamo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, PAOK has had a series of home games.

In this match, PAOK is seen as the favorite.

We predict that PAOK will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, PAOK won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PAOK FC
UEFA Europa League
23.07.26	Dynamo Kyiv - PAOK	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.26	PAOK - Twente	2:3 ✺
07.07.26	PAOK - AEK Larnaca	3:2 ✺
04.07.26	PAOK - Westerlo	4:0 ✺
01.07.26	PAOK - Beveren	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWWW
- FC Dynamo Kyiv
UEFA Europa League
23.07.26	Dynamo Kyiv - PAOK	2:3 ✺
16.07.26	Universitatea Cluj - Dynamo Kyiv	0:1 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
10.07.26	Radomiak Radom - Dynamo Kyiv	2:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
09.07.26	Dynamo Kyiv - Universitatea Cluj	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.07.26	Dynamo Kyiv - Rapid Bucureşti	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
23.07.26	Dynamo Kyiv - PAOK	2:3

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