Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 17 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Toumba Stadium (Thessaloniki)

Referee: Stegemann S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Nova Sports
Greece	Nova Sports
Slovenia	Sport TV


	PAOK		Hajduk Split

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	4.1	Watch
	1.95	3.2	3.6
	2	3.1	4.1
	2	3.28	3.8
	2.01	3.17	4.11
	1.92	3.4	4.1
	2.05	3.25	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (1.99)	3.2 ↓ (3.27)	3.96 ↑ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PAOK
47.2%

Draw
29.2%

Hajduk Split
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

28.5%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

27.7%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Hajduk Split has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	15.6%	34.4%

PAOK - Hajduk Split Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. PAOK will win (votes: 16 - 50%). Hajduk will win (votes: 11 - 34.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 15.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK: 32.7% – 67.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Kotarski D. (G) 16. Kedziora T. 15. Troost-Ekong W. 4. Koulierakis K. 21. Baba A. R. 22. Schwab S. (C) 6. Tsingaras T. 77. Narey K. 7. Konstantelias G. 14. Zivkovic A. 33. Samatta M.	13. Lucic I. (G) 18. Moufi F. 31. Sarlija Z. 5. Diallo I. 17. Melnjak D. 20. Sigur N. 23. Krovinovic F. 77. Sahiti E. 8. Odjidja-Ofoe V. 29. Mlakar J. 10. Livaja M. (C)
Substitutes
19. Lyratzis L. 5. Michailidis G. 10. Murg T. 27. Ozdoev M. 55. Rafa 50. Soares F. 11. Taison 71. Thomas B. 95. Tzimas S. 20. Vieirinha 29. Vrakas G. 18. Zivkovic Z. (G)	11. Benrahou Y. 88. Cubelic I. 99. Cuic F. 22. Dajaku L. 26. Dolcek I. 19. Elez J. 4. Ferro 7. Kalik A. 34. Kavelj A. 36. Laus T. B. 24. Mikanovic D. 1. Silic T. (G)
Coaches
Lucescu R.	Leko I.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.

Recent matches PAOK is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hajduk is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

PAOK could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match PAOK is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches PAOK won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PAOK FC
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Hajduk Split - PAOK	0:0 ✺
03.08.23	Beitar Jerusalem - PAOK	1:4 ✺
27.07.23	PAOK - Beitar Jerusalem	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.23	Westerlo - PAOK	3:2 ✺
12.07.23	PAOK - Genk	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TWTLW
- Hajduk Split
Croatian HNL
13.08.23	Hajduk Split - Slaven Belupo	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Hajduk Split - PAOK	0:0 ✺
Croatian HNL
30.07.23	Hajduk Split - Rijeka	1:0 ✺
21.07.23	Dinamo Zagreb - Hajduk Split	1:2 ✺
Croatian Super Cup
15.07.23	Dinamo Zagreb - Hajduk Split	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Hajduk Split - PAOK	0:0

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