Match Info

HNL - Round 34

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Maksimir (Zagreb)

Referee: Pavlesic P. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Italy	Como TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 10


	Dinamo Zagreb		Hajduk Split

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.8	4.2
	1.62	4.1	4.75	Watch
	1.65	3.95	4.45
	1.66	4.17	4.9
	1.65	4.17	4.61	Watch
	1.67	3.8	4.33
	1.74	4	4.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.55)	4 ↓ (4.08)	4.52 ↓ (5.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Zagreb
56.1%

Draw
23.3%

Hajduk Split
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

22.6%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

21.7%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Hajduk Split has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dinamo Zagreb, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Dinamo Zagreb - Hajduk Split Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Hajduk will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hajduk: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Hajduk (3.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hajduk (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Livakovic D. (G) 25. Valincic M. 15. Galesic N. 42. Zebic M. 3. Goda B. 7. Stojkovic L. 27. Misic J. (C) 8. Zajc M. 71. Bakrar M. 9. Beljo D. 11. Hoxha A.	33. Silic T. (G) 28. Brajkovic R. 15. Maresic D. 14. Raci R. 17. Melnjak D. 8. Sigur N. 4. Pajaziti A. 30. Almena I. 21. Pukstas R. 24. Sanyang A. 10. Livaja M. (C)
Substitutes
4. Bennacer I. 70. Cordoba J. 44. Filipovic I. (G) 21. Lisica M. 33. Nevistic I. (G) 22. Perez Vinlof M. 14. Soldo M. 41. Sunta S. 13. Tabinas P. 30. Topic F. 16. Torrente R. 10. Vidovic G.	29. Cupic M. 5. Diallo I. 34. Durdov B. 3. Gabric R. 6. Guillamon H. 26. Guram A. 38. Hodak L. 32. Hrgovic S. 1. Ivusic I. (G) 9. Rebic A. 11. Sego M. 44. Stipica D. (G)
Coaches
Kovacevic M.	Garcia G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Bakrar M. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Bakrar M. ⚽, Misic J. (A),
32', Goda B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Brajkovic R. ↓, Hodak L. ↑,
58', Sigur N. 🟨,
58', Hoxha A. ↓, Vidovic G. ↑,
58', Bakrar M. ↓, Lisica M. ↑,
59', Zajc M. ↓, Bennacer I. ↑,
62', Sanyang A. ↓, Rebic A. ↑,
65', 2 - 0, Beljo D. ⚽, Lisica M. (A),
75', Stojkovic L. ↓, Soldo M. ↑,
76', Melnjak D. ↓, Hrgovic S. ↑,
76', Almena I. ↓, Sego M. ↑,
85', Sigur N. ↓, Guram A. ↑,
87', Rebic A. 🟨,
90+2', Misic J. ↓, Topic F. ↑,

Preview

Hajduk is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Zagreb won 3.

Dinamo Zagreb has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hajduk has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Dinamo Zagreb is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Dinamo Zagreb: Dominguez S. (Yellow Cards) Theophile-Catherine K. (Inactive) Zajc M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Hajduk: Krovinovic F. (Injury) Rebic A. (Injury) Skelin M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Dinamo Zagreb: McKenna S. (Injury)

We predict that Dinamo Zagreb will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Zagreb won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:14. (average 1.4:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Dinamo Zagreb won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 1.7:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Hajduk Split	9	6	1	2	18:9	9	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL
02.05.26	Gorica - Dinamo Zagreb	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Varaždin	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Istra 1961 - Dinamo Zagreb	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Rijeka	2:2 ✺
13.04.26	Vukovar 91 - Dinamo Zagreb	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWTW
- Hajduk Split
Croatian HNL
03.05.26	Hajduk Split - Varaždin	3:1 ✺
26.04.26	Rijeka - Hajduk Split	0:0 ✺
21.04.26	Hajduk Split - Osijek	0:1 ✺
17.04.26	Slaven Belupo - Hajduk Split	2:2 ✺
12.04.26	Hajduk Split - Gorica	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
08.03.26	Hajduk Split - Dinamo Zagreb	1:3
06.12.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Hajduk Split	1:1
20.09.25	Hajduk Split - Dinamo Zagreb	0:2
03.05.25	Hajduk Split - Dinamo Zagreb	1:3
02.03.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Hajduk Split	2:2
01.12.24	Hajduk Split - Dinamo Zagreb	1:0
13.09.24	Dinamo Zagreb - Hajduk Split	0:1

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