Match Info

Super League - Round 6

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday

Location: Toumba Stadium (Thessaloniki)

Referee: Katsikogiannis A. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ANT1 Pacific
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
Usa	ANT1 Satellite


	PAOK		Kalamata

	1	X	2
	1.19	6.5	11	Watch
	1.22	6.25	12.00
	1.21	6.3	10.5
	1.23	7.25	12.03
	1.24	5.9	11	Watch
	1.19	7.15	11
	1.22	6.46	10.9	Watch
	1.21	5.8	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 (1.21)	6.45 ↑ (6.3)	11.05 ↓ (12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PAOK
77%

Draw
14.5%

Kalamata
8.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.3%

14.9%

7.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Kalamata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

PAOK - Kalamata Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: PAOK will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Tsiftsis A. (G) 3. Kenny J. 19. Diego Costa 5. Michailidis G. 21. Baba A. 20. Zafeiris C. 18. Jakic K. 52. Chatsidis D. 10. Pelkas D. 11. Taison (C) 27. Ndiaye C.	40. Vasiljevic N. (G) 22. Kaloutsikidis P. 4. Stroungis S. (C) 97. Rodrigues 17. Alonso J. 23. Pineiro G. 6. Diarra D. 77. Vargas K. 24. Hamza E. 20. Mendes Moreira A. 91. Kurminowski D.
Substitutes
24. Banza S. 2. Camara M. 6. Elustondo A. 13. Giannoulis D. 4. Hatzidiakos P. 41. Monastirlis D. (G) 56. Mythou A. 7. Santamaria B. 47. Shoretire S. 32. Taylor G. 16. Ugresic O. 14. Zivkovic A.	19. Bakayoko J. 32. Bonetto J. 7. Cataldi J. 12. Chatzitheodoridis I. 1. Gelios I. (G) 26. Ginis P. (G) 44. Guessand A. 29. Ignjatovic U. 8. Liatsikouras A. 11. Miranda J. 10. Sigurdsson A. 14. Soumahoro M.
Coaches
Lisci A.	Christofileas P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Vargas K. (Penalty Awarded),
43', Pineiro G. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Ndiaye C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Chatsidis D. ↓, Zivkovic A. ↑,
46', Michailidis G. ↓, Elustondo A. ↑,
57', 1 - 2, Vargas K. ⚽, Alonso J. (A),
60', Kurminowski D. 🟨,
62', Tsiftsis A. 🟥,
63', Pelkas D. ↓, Monastirlis D. ↑,
66', 1 - 3, Kurminowski D. ⚽, Alonso J. (A),
74', Rodrigues ↓, Bakayoko J. ↑,
74', Taison ↓, Banza S. ↑,
74', Jakic K. ↓, Ugresic O. ↑,
78', Diarra D. ↓, Cataldi J. ↑,
84', Mendes Moreira A. ↓, Liatsikouras A. ↑,
84', Hamza E. ↓, Sigurdsson A. ↑,
84', Kurminowski D. ↓, Miranda J. ↑,
89', Elustondo A. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Super League (Championship Group: ) and 11th in the Super League (Relegation Group: )).

PAOK is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Kalamata have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

PAOK holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

Confirmed absences for PAOK: Giannoulis D. (Leg Injury) Hatzidiakos P. (Calf Injury) Pavlenka J. (Shoulder Injury).

Confirmed absences for Kalamata: Angelis S. (Muscle Injury) Mouzakis S. (Leg Injury) Panagiotou P. (Knock) Varelas P. (Knock).

Doubtful / questionable for PAOK: Chalov F. (Knee Injury) Despodov K. (Toe Injury) Louchet T. (Muscle Injury) Meite S. (Hip Injury) Sarris G. (Inactive).

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, PAOK has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:0 (averaging 2:0 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for PAOK against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.

Outrights of Greek Super League for now

PAOK: 14.29% Kalamata: 0.1%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	PAOK	6	4	0	2	13:8	5	12
10	Kalamata	6	2	1	3	9:9	0	7

Last Results with these Odds

PAOK - the odds 1.21 are the expected chance of winning is 77.35%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PAOK FC
Greek Super League
20.09.26	Panetolikos - PAOK	1:3 ✺
Greek Cup
16.09.26	Atromitos Athens - PAOK	0:1 ✺
Greek Super League
13.09.26	PAOK - Aris	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Panathinaikos - PAOK	3:1 ✺
Greek Cup
02.09.26	PAOK - OFI	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWLT
- Kalamata FC
Greek Super League
20.09.26	Kalamata - Panathinaikos	0:1 ✺
Greek Cup
17.09.26	Kalamata - AEL Larissa	1:1 ✺
Greek Super League
13.09.26	Kalamata - Volos	3:1 ✺
06.09.26	Atromitos Athens - Kalamata	1:1 ✺
Greek Cup
01.09.26	Volos - Kalamata	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Greek Cup
10.01.23	PAOK - Kalamata	2:0
14.12.22	Kalamata - PAOK	0:2

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