Match Info

Super League - Round 5

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Kalamata Metropolitan Stadium (Kalamata)

Referee: Papapetrou A. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 2
Greece	Nova Sports Prime


	Kalamata		Panathinaikos

	1	X	2
	10	5.25	1.27	Watch
	8.25	5.00	1.28
	9.1	5.35	1.28	Watch
	10.01	5.92	1.3
	9.12	5.28	1.31	Watch
	9.8	5.8	1.26
	9.6	5.6	1.27	Watch
	8.6	5.2	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.31 ↓ (10)	5.43 ↑ (5.4)	1.28 ↑ (1.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kalamata
10%

Draw
17.2%

Panathinaikos
72.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.2%

17.1%

73.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kalamata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Panathinaikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Kalamata - Panathinaikos Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Panathinaikos will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Panathinaikos: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Panathinaikos (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Vasiljevic N. (G) 22. Kaloutsikidis P. 19. Bakayoko J. 4. Stroungis S. (C) 97. Rodrigues 17. Alonso J. 24. Hamza E. 23. Pineiro G. 6. Diarra D. 9. Bolivar J. 20. Mendes Moreira A.	1. Pena I. (G) 2. Calabria D. 6. de Vrij S. (C) 55. Van Drongelen R. 77. Kyriakopoulos G. 22. Camara E. 99. Garcia L. 42. Kangwa K. 21. Ounahi A. 10. Andino S. 7. Tetteh A.
Substitutes
32. Bonetto J. 7. Cataldi J. 12. Chatzitheodoridis I. 16. Frimpong E. 1. Gelios I. (G) 26. Ginis P. (G) 44. Guessand A. 29. Ignjatovic U. 91. Kurminowski D. 8. Liatsikouras A. 5. Martin A. 3. Perez A.	12. Chaves L. (G) 4. Chirivella P. 9. Dessers C. 8. Jagusic A. 18. Kontouris S. 70. Kotsaris K. (G) 26. Louza I. 14. Palmer-Brown E. 28. Pellistri F. 74. Rastoder E. 5. Salah-Eddine A. 19. Tsapras T.
Coaches
Christofileas P.	Neestrup J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Tetteh A. ⚽,
42', Alonso J. 🟨,
44', Kangwa K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Bakayoko J. ↓, Cataldi J. ↑,
65', Ounahi A. ↓, Dessers C. ↑,
65', Kangwa K. ↓, Louza I. ↑,
73', Rodrigues 🟨,
78', Hamza E. ↓, Bonetto J. ↑,
79', Tetteh A. ↓, Tsapras T. ↑,
84', Diarra D. ↓, Chatzitheodoridis I. ↑,
84', Pineiro G. ↓, Kurminowski D. ↑,
84', Alonso J. ↓, Liatsikouras A. ↑,
90', Garcia L. ↓, Rastoder E. ↑,
90+3', Cataldi J. 🟨,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 10th in the Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 1st in the Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).

In recent outings, Kalamata has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Panathinaikos is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Kalamata may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Panathinaikos has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this match, Panathinaikos enters as the overwhelming favorite.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Outrights of Greek Super League for now

Panathinaikos: 29.75% Kalamata: 0.64%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Panathinaikos	5	5	0	0	12:2	10	15
11	Kalamata	5	1	1	3	6:8	-2	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kalamata FC
Greek Cup
17.09.26	Kalamata - AEL Larissa	1:1 ✺
Greek Super League
13.09.26	Kalamata - Volos	3:1 ✺
06.09.26	Atromitos Athens - Kalamata	1:1 ✺
Greek Cup
01.09.26	Volos - Kalamata	2:2 ✺
Greek Super League
29.08.26	Panetolikos - Kalamata	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWTTL
- Panathinaikos FC
Greek Cup
16.09.26	AE Kifisia - Panathinaikos	0:2 ✺
Greek Super League
13.09.26	Panathinaikos - Panetolikos	3:0 ✺
10.09.26	Panathinaikos - AE Kifisia	3:1 ✺
06.09.26	Panathinaikos - PAOK	3:1 ✺
Greek Cup
03.09.26	Panathinaikos - Niki Volos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWW

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