Match Info

Greek Cup - Round 1

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Toumba Stadium (Thessaloniki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	SKAI
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	PAOK		OFI

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.46	4.20	5.50
	1.35	4.85	7.5
	1.35	4.6	9.75
	1.41	4.15	7.35	Watch
	1.31	4.3	10
	1.38	4.55	8.08	Watch
	1.24	5.4	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.4)	4.58 ↑ (4.25)	8.03 ↑ (6.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PAOK
68.2%

Draw
20.2%

OFI
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

21.3%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

20.1%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

OFI has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with PAOK that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for OFI than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

PAOK - OFI Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. PAOK (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: PAOK will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Tsiftsis A. (G) 3. Kenny J. 97. Bataoulas D. 5. Michailidis G. 21. Baba A. 7. Santamaria B. 32. Taylor G. 14. Zivkovic A. (C) 16. Ugresic O. 11. Taison 56. Mythou A.	31. Christogeorgos N. (G) 6. Karachalios Z. 15. Poungouras A. 2. Krizmanic K. 17. Gonzalez B. 8. Kanellopoulos G. 41. Bouchalakis A. 90. Kenourgiakis P. 21. Apostolakis I. (C) 10. Cantalapiedra A. 19. Kodro K.
Substitutes
22. Ali T. 39. Berdos D. 2. Camara M. 52. Chatsidis D. 6. Elustondo A. 13. Giannoulis D. 78. Kosidis G. 27. Ndiaye C. 1. Pavlenka J. (G) 47. Shoretire S. 25. Thymianis K. 20. Zafeiris C.	14. Androutsos A. 3. Athanasiou N. 24. Dickmann L. 11. Fountas T. 13. Katsikas P. (G) 5. Kostoulas K. 52. Lagoudakis K. 1. Lilo K. (G) 43. Nikolaou D. 30. Romano T. 71. Sitmalidis A. 46. Theodosoulakis I.
Coaches
Lisci A.	Kontis C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Santamaria B. ↓, Shoretire S. ↑,
45+2', Poungouras A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Gonzalez B. 🟨,
62', Kenourgiakis P. ↓, Sitmalidis A. ↑,
68', Taison ↓, Ndiaye C. ↑,
69', Zivkovic A. ↓, Chatsidis D. ↑,
75', Kodro K. ↓, Fountas T. ↑,
75', Bouchalakis A. ↓, Androutsos A. ↑,
81', Cantalapiedra A. ↓, Dickmann L. ↑,
81', Gonzalez B. ↓, Athanasiou N. ↑,
85', Mythou A. ↓, Ali T. ↑,
85', Ugresic O. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
90', Christogeorgos N. 🟨,
90+6', Taylor G. 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PAOK won 3.

In recent matches, PAOK has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

OFI is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, PAOK is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PAOK won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 51:13. (average 2.6:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, PAOK won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:7. (average 2.8:0.6).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	OFI Crete	2	1	1	0	3:0	3	4
7	PAOK	2	1	1	0	1:0	1	4

Last Results with these Odds

PAOK - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 64.77%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PAOK FC
Greek Super League
30.08.26	Atromitos Athens - PAOK	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Brann - PAOK	3:2 ✺
Greek Super League
23.08.26	PAOK - Levadiakos	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.08.26	PAOK - Brann	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.08.26	Anderlecht - PAOK	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLWTL
- OFI Crete
Greek Super League
30.08.26	Aris - OFI	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.26	CSKA Sofia - OFI	0:2 ✺
Greek Super League
23.08.26	OFI - Volos	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
20.08.26	OFI - CSKA Sofia	3:0 ✺
Greek Super Cup
12.08.26	AEK Athens - OFI	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Cup
25.04.26	PAOK - OFI	2:3 ET
Greek Super League
18.01.26	PAOK - OFI	3:0
14.09.25	OFI - PAOK	1:2
08.02.25	OFI - PAOK	0:5
27.10.24	PAOK - OFI	1:2
03.01.24	PAOK - OFI	4:0
03.09.23	OFI - PAOK	1:0

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