Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 13 August 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Toumba Stadium (Thessaloniki) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Di Bello M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	14:30	Canal GOAT
Croatia	19:30	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Finland	20:30	MFF Play Premium
Greece	20:30	Nova Sports Prime
Norway	19:30	MFF Play Premium
Sweden	19:30	MFF Play
United Kingdom	18:30	MFF Play Premium


	PAOK		Malmö

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	4.1	Watch
	1.9	3.7	3.9
	1.87	3.6	4	Watch
	1.91	3.66	4.2
	1.91	3.7	3.9	Watch
	1.8	3.7	3.75
	1.92	3.87	3.94
	1.87	3.6	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.84)	3.65 ↑ (3.63)	3.97 ↓ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PAOK
50.3%

Draw
25.9%

Malmö
23.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.7%

26.7%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

26.4%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.2%	9.2%	12.7%

PAOK - Malmö Predictions

Users Predictions: PAOK will win (110 of 137 users predict this - 80.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.63% – 86.95%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Kotarski D. (G) 23. Sastre J. 16. Kedziora T. 4. Koulierakis K. 21. Baba A. R. 27. Ozdoev M. 2. Camara M. 14. Zivkovic A. (C) 7. Konstantelias G. 11. Taison 71. Thomas B.	27. Dahlin J. (C) 17. Stryger Larsen J. 18. Jansson P. 35. Zetterstrom N. 25. Busanello 5. Rieks S. 8. Pena S. 23. Johnsen L. 11. Nanasi S. 9. Kiese Thelin I. 20. Botheim E.
Substitutes
9. Chalov F. 77. Despodov K. 5. Michailidis G. 10. Murg T. 22. Schwab S. 64. Talichmanidis C. (G) 25. Thymianis K. 34. Tissoudali T. 99. Tsiftsis A. (G) 6. Tsingaras T. 20. Vieirinha	22. Ali T. 16. Berg O. 38. Bolin H. 10. Christiansen A. 29. Haksabanovic S. 14. Jorgensen S. 33. Makolli E. 13. Olsson M. 30. Persson J. (G) 1. Ricardo Friedrich (G) 7. Rosengren O. 19. Rosler C.
Coaches
Lucescu R.	Rydstrom H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Nanasi S. ⚽, Jansson P. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Taison ⚽,
37', Sastre J. 🟨,
43', 2 - 1, Koulierakis K. ⚽,
45', 2 - 2, Nanasi S. ⚽, Rieks S. (A),
45+4', 3 - 2, Zivkovic A. ⚽, Baba A. R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Taison ↓, Murg T. ↑,
60', Rieks S. ↓, Bolin H. ↑,
62', Johnsen L. 🟨,
66', Baba A. R. 🟨,
72', Zivkovic A. ↓, Despodov K. ↑,
72', Ozdoev M. ↓, Schwab S. ↑,
73', Thomas B. ↓, Chalov F. ↑,
79', Nanasi S. ↓, Christiansen A. ↑,
85', Konstantelias G. ↓, Vieirinha ↑,
88', Botheim E. ↓, Ali T. ↑,
90+1', Jansson P. 🟨,
90+4', Kiese Thelin I. 🟨,
90+7', 3 - 3, Zetterstrom N. ⚽,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
99', 3 - 4, Christiansen A. ⚽, Zetterstrom N. (A),
100', Murg T. 🟨,
101', Murg T. ↓, Tissoudali T. ↑,
106', Pena S. ↓, Berg O. ↑,
114', Kiese Thelin I. ↓, Rosler C. ↑,
114', Stryger Larsen J. ↓, Olsson M. ↑,
120', Koulierakis K. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Malmö could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match PAOK is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches PAOK won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PAOK FC
UEFA Champions League
06.08.24	Malmö - PAOK	2:2 ✺
31.07.24	Borac Banja Luka - PAOK	0:1 ✺
24.07.24	PAOK - Borac Banja Luka	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
13.07.24	Vitesse - PAOK	2:1 ✺
13.07.24	PAOK - Saint-Gilloise	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWWLL
- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
10.08.24	Halmstad - Malmö	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
06.08.24	Malmö - PAOK	2:2 ✺
30.07.24	KÍ Klaksvík - Malmö	3:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
27.07.24	Malmö - Sirius	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
23.07.24	Malmö - KÍ Klaksvík	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
06.08.24	Malmö - PAOK	2:2

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