Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 13 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Lotto Park (Anderlecht)

Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	RTL Club, VTM 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5P
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Greece	Open TV
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Usa	ESPN+, SportsEngine Play


	Anderlecht		PAOK

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.25	2.4	Watch
	2.95	3.40	2.35
	2.78	3.3	2.42	Watch
	2.78	3.47	2.59
	3.01	3.53	2.29	Watch
	2.75	3.4	2.45
	2.73	3.39	2.56	Watch
	2.8	3.35	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (2.85)	3.39 ↑ (3.32)	2.43 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anderlecht
33.5%

Draw
27.8%

PAOK
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

28.1%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

28.3%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anderlecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.5%	41.4%	24.1%

Anderlecht - PAOK Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Anderlecht will win (votes: 10 - 34.5%). PAOK will win (votes: 7 - 24.1%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 41.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.5% – 59.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Anderlecht (votes: 1 - 25%). PAOK (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Anderlecht (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Anderlecht (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Anderlecht (votes: 3 - 50%). PAOK (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Coosemans C. (C) 79. Maamar A. 4. Biancone G. 27. Petrot L. 5. N'Diaye M. 24. Llansana E. 55. Kana M. 61. Nga K. 18. Ambros L. 9. Cvetkovic M. 14. Sikan D.	1. Pavlenka J. (G) 3. Kenny J. 6. Elustondo A. 5. Michailidis G. 21. Baba A. 20. Zafeiris C. 7. Santamaria B. 14. Zivkovic A. (C) 65. Konstantelias G. 11. Taison 56. Mythou A.
Substitutes
11. Antman O. 6. Augustinsson L. 50. Barry K. 91. Bertaccini A. 53. Cobiella N. 83. Degreef T. 32. Heekeren J. (G) 68. Kalonji Kafumpata N. 2. Keita Z. 49. Onia Seke J. 13. Saliba N. 62. Vroninks B.	97. Bataoulas D. 2. Camara M. 52. Chatsidis D. 13. Giannoulis D. 19. Jeremejeff A. 18. Jogo 23. Louchet T. 10. Pelkas D. 47. Shoretire S. 32. Taylor G. 25. Thymianis K. 99. Tsiftsis A. (G)
Coaches
Bruno V.	Lisci A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Petrot L. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Zivkovic A. ⚽, Taison (A),
43', Baba A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Baba A. ↓, Giannoulis D. ↑,
46', Mythou A. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
47', 2 - 1, Ambros L. ⚽, Biancone G. (A),
55', 3 - 1, Sikan D. ⚽, Cvetkovic M. (A),
67', Santamaria B. ↓, Taylor G. ↑,
67', Taison ↓, Jeremejeff A. ↑,
78', N'Diaye M. ↓, Saliba N. ↑,
78', Sikan D. ↓, Degreef T. ↑,
78', Nga K. ↓, Augustinsson L. ↑,
80', Ambros L. 🟨,
82', Zafeiris C. 🟨,
84', Llansana E. ↓, Onia Seke J. ↑,
84', Zafeiris C. ↓, Louchet T. ↑,
88', 3 - 2, Jeremejeff A. (Penalty Awarded),
89', Zivkovic A. 🟥,
89', Biancone G. 🟨,
90+2', Cvetkovic M. ↓, Bertaccini A. ↑,
90+3', Jeremejeff A. 🟥,
90+5', Saliba N. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 1-0.

Anderlecht has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

PAOK has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

PAOK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, PAOK has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Anderlecht won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Anderlecht: 1.47%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
23	Anderlecht	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anderlecht
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
09.08.26	Anderlecht - RAAL La Louvière	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.08.26	PAOK - Anderlecht	0:1 ✺
30.07.26	Anderlecht - Hammarby	3:1 ✺
23.07.26	Hammarby - Anderlecht	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.26	Anderlecht - NEC Nijmegen	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WWWTW
- PAOK FC
UEFA Europa League
06.08.26	PAOK - Anderlecht	0:1 ✺
30.07.26	PAOK - Dynamo Kyiv	2:0 ✺
23.07.26	Dynamo Kyiv - PAOK	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.26	PAOK - Twente	2:3 ✺
07.07.26	PAOK - AEK Larnaca	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
06.08.26	PAOK - Anderlecht	0:1
Club Friendly
23.07.19	Anderlecht - PAOK	1:3
29.06.18	PAOK - Anderlecht	2:2

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