Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 23

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday


	PE Sant Jordi		Formentera

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.9	1.47
	5.66	3.67	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.58 ↓ (6.23)	3.79 ↓ (4.33)	1.5 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PE Sant Jordi
16.1%

Draw
23.8%

Formentera
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

21%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.2%

20.5%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PE Sant Jordi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Formentera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PE Sant Jordi than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Formentera than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Formentera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

PE Sant Jordi - Formentera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Fernandez Isla M. ⚽,
15', 0 - 2, Busi L. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
50', 1 - 2, ⚽,
52', 2 - 2, ⚽,
59', 2 - 3, ⚽,
82', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )).

PE Sant Jordi is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Formentera is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

PE Sant Jordi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Formentera is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches PE Sant Jordi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:3 (average 0:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams PE Sant Jordi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PE Sant Jordi
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
15.02.25	Poblense - PE Sant Jordi	3:0 ✺
25.01.25	PE Sant Jordi - Penya Independent	0:0 ✺
19.01.25	Platges de Calvià - PE Sant Jordi	2:0 ✺
15.01.25	PE Sant Jordi - Santanyí	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	Constancia - PE Sant Jordi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LTLTL
- SD Formentera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
16.02.25	Formentera - Alcúdia	3:1 ✺
09.02.25	Santanyí - Formentera	1:4 ✺
02.02.25	Formentera - Campos	4:0 ✺
19.01.25	Formentera - Llosetense	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Poblense - Formentera	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
13.10.24	Formentera - PE Sant Jordi	1:0
06.02.21	PE Sant Jordi - Formentera	0:2

PE Sant Jordi - Formentera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide