Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 17

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday


	Poblense		Formentera

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.4	4.1
	1.74	3.4	4.3
				Watch
	1.71	3.44	4.48
	1.74	3.4	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.27)	3.41 ↑ (3.1)	4.3 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poblense
52.4%

Draw
26.5%

Formentera
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

29.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

29.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poblense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Poblense's performance.

Formentera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Formentera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poblense than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Poblense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Formentera than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Formentera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Poblense - Formentera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Prohens J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 2 - 0, Bicho ⚽,
86', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Poblense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
21.12.24	Llosetense - Poblense	0:1 ✺
14.12.24	Collerense - Poblense	1:0 ✺
07.12.24	Poblense - Mercadal	1:1 ✺
30.11.24	Penya Independent - Poblense	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Poblense - Platges de Calvià	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLTLT
- SD Formentera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
21.12.24	Formentera - Collerense	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Mercadal - Formentera	2:2 ✺
06.12.24	Formentera - Penya Independent	1:0 ✺
30.11.24	Platges de Calvià - Formentera	0:1 ✺
24.11.24	Formentera - Constancia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
05.01.20	Poblense - Formentera	5:3
18.04.19	Poblense - Formentera	1:1

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