Match Info

Date: 23 July 2022, Saturday

Location: Kimpisen stadion (Lappeenranta)


	PEPO Lappeenranta		TPS

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.8	1.6	Watch
	5	3.8	1.55
	5.4	3.6	1.6
	4.9	3.9	1.59
	5.89	4.06	1.61
	5.5	3.7	1.52
	5.15	4.05	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.23 ↓ (6.13)	3.84 ↓ (3.9)	1.58 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PEPO Lappeenranta
17.6%

Draw
24%

TPS
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.8%

23.2%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.4%

22.5%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PEPO Lappeenranta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PEPO Lappeenranta than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TPS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	17.6%	82.4%

PEPO Lappeenranta - TPS Predictions

Users Predictions: TPS will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group)).

PEPO is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

TPS is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match TPS is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches PEPO won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PEPO Lappeenranta
Finnish Ykkonen
15.07.22	Mikkelin Palloilijat - PEPO Lappeenranta	2:1 ✺
10.07.22	PEPO Lappeenranta - PK-35 Vantaa	3:3 ✺
06.07.22	FF Jaro - PEPO Lappeenranta	3:0 ✺
02.07.22	PEPO Lappeenranta - Ekenäs	2:2 ✺
23.06.22	SJK Akatemia - PEPO Lappeenranta	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LTLTT
- TPS
Finnish Ykkonen
15.07.22	TPS - SJK Akatemia	2:1 ✺
10.07.22	PIF Pargas - TPS	0:2 ✺
04.07.22	TPS - KTP Kotka	1:3 ✺
01.07.22	JäPS - TPS	0:1 ✺
22.06.22	Gnistan - TPS	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
21.05.22	TPS - PEPO Lappeenranta	0:0

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