Match Info

Date: 10 July 2022, Sunday

Location: Pajbackan Kentta (Parainen)


	PIF Pargas		TPS

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.6	1.53
	5.25	3.8	1.52
	6.5	3.85	1.47
	5.4	3.9	1.54
	6.9	3.95	1.56
	6	3.7	1.5
	6	4.15	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.97 ↓ (7.68)	3.85 ↓ (4.53)	1.52 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PIF Pargas
15.4%

Draw
23.9%

TPS
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.1%

20.5%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.8%

20%

69%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PIF Pargas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and TPS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PIF Pargas than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TPS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	30.8%	53.8%

PIF Pargas - TPS Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. PIF will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). TPS will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for TPS: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group)).

Recent matches PIF is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

TPS is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match TPS is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches PIF won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PIF Pargas
Finnish Ykkonen
06.07.22	Mikkelin Palloilijat - PIF Pargas	2:3 ✺
02.07.22	PIF Pargas - PK-35 Vantaa	3:2 ✺
22.06.22	PIF Pargas - FF Jaro	0:2 ✺
18.06.22	PEPO Lappeenranta - PIF Pargas	2:1 ✺
10.06.22	PIF Pargas - Ekenäs	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWLLL
- TPS
Finnish Ykkonen
04.07.22	TPS - KTP Kotka	1:3 ✺
01.07.22	JäPS - TPS	0:1 ✺
22.06.22	Gnistan - TPS	0:1 ✺
18.06.22	TPS - KPV Kokkola	5:0 ✺
10.06.22	Mikkelin Palloilijat - TPS	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
09.05.22	TPS - PIF Pargas	0:2
Finnish Ykkoscup
26.02.22	TPS - PIF Pargas	3:1
Club Friendly
06.06.20	TPS - PIF Pargas	1:0

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